Dundee vs Kilmarnock: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 28, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC)The Scot Foam Stadium at Dens Park, Dundee
The Footlab AI model makes Dundee the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Kilmarnock. The most likely score is 1-1. If Dundee wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dundee vs Kilmarnock?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Dundee (1,851) and Kilmarnock (1,855).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dundee vs Kilmarnock
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dundee
4-4-2- 19J. Westley
- 21B. Fink
- 48E. Hamilton
- 14A. Forrest
- 8R. Finnigan
- 28C. Jones
- 4R. Astley
- 5O. Bevan
- 7D. Wright
- 12I. Samuels
- 1O. Goodman
Kilmarnock
4-4-2- 9J. Hugill
- 10T. John-Jules
- 11G. Kiltie
- 18T. Lowery
- 8E. Ring
- 49B. Rice
- 21M. Schjønning-Larsen
- 4C. McCarthy
- 14G. Stanger
- 2J. Brandon
- 1M. Stryjek
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 04:02 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dundee have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Kilmarnock have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Motherwell(home) | 2-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Heart Of Midlothian(away) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Sep 2, 2026 | ST Johnstone(home) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Hibernian(home) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dundee Utd(away) | 2-0 | Premiership |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Heart Of Midlothian(home) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Hibernian(away) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Aberdeen(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Aberdeen(away) | 0-0 | Premiership |
| Sep 2, 2026 | ST Mirren(home) | 0-1 | Premiership |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Dundee wins, 2 draws, 2 Kilmarnock wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2026 | Kilmarnock 3-1 Dundee | Premiership |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Kilmarnock 2-2 Dundee | Premiership |
| Jan 17, 2026 | Kilmarnock 1-2 Dundee | FA Cup |
| Dec 30, 2025 | Dundee 2-1 Kilmarnock | Premiership |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Kilmarnock 0-0 Dundee | Premiership |
| May 10, 2025 | Kilmarnock 3-2 Dundee | Premiership |
How many goals should we expect?
Dundee score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Kilmarnock score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dundee | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Kilmarnock | 1.3 | 1.3 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dundee sit 4th in Premiership (10 points from 7 matches) and Kilmarnock sit 12th (5 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Dundee | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 10 |
| 12 | Kilmarnock | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 5 |
A question about Dundee vs Kilmarnock?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dundee vs Kilmarnock?
- The Footlab AI model makes Dundee the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Kilmarnock.
- Where and when is Dundee vs Kilmarnock played?
- Dundee vs Kilmarnock is played on October 28, 2026 at 07:45 PM (UTC) at The Scot Foam Stadium at Dens Park, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.