ST Mirren vs Kilmarnock: prediction and stats
PremiershipRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The SMISA Stadium, Paisley
The Footlab AI model makes Kilmarnock the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for ST Mirren. The most likely score is 1-1. If Kilmarnock wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,930 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win ST Mirren vs Kilmarnock?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate ST Mirren (1,778) and Kilmarnock (1,805).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for ST Mirren vs Kilmarnock
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
ST Mirren
4-2-3-1- 88K. Phillips
- 8R. Carr
- 19Ismeal Kabia
- 48P. Nsio
- 30F. Taylor
- 23C. Mochrie
- 13A. Gogić
- 3D. John
- 47C. Ramsay
- 53Henry Fieldson
- 1J. Chapman
Kilmarnock
4-2-3-1- 9J. Hugill
- 18T. Lowery
- 11G. Kiltie
- 8E. Ring
- 10T. John-Jules
- 49B. Rice
- 21M. Schjønning-Larsen
- 4C. McCarthy
- 14G. Stanger
- 3Michael-John Kamson-Kamara
- 12C. Ferrie
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 11:05 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, ST Mirren have 7 wins, 1 draw and 7 defeats; Kilmarnock have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Aberdeen(away) | 1-3 | Premiership |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Heart Of Midlothian(away) | 0-5 | Premiership |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Dundee Utd(home) | 0-3 | Premiership |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Rangers(away) | 0-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Celtic(home) | 1-2 | Premiership |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Motherwell(home) | 3-2 | Premiership |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Rangers(away) | 1-3 | Premiership |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Heart Of Midlothian(home) | 1-1 | Premiership |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Hibernian(away) | 1-0 | Premiership |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Aberdeen(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 ST Mirren win, 2 draws, 3 Kilmarnock wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2026 | Kilmarnock 0-1 ST Mirren | Premiership |
| May 9, 2026 | ST Mirren 0-3 Kilmarnock | Premiership |
| Feb 11, 2026 | Kilmarnock 4-3 ST Mirren | Premiership |
| Dec 27, 2025 | ST Mirren 0-0 Kilmarnock | Premiership |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Kilmarnock 2-0 ST Mirren | Premiership |
| Sep 19, 2025 | Kilmarnock 2-2 ST Mirren | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Kilmarnock vs ST Mirren on Sep 2, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
ST Mirren score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Kilmarnock score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ST Mirren | 1.7 | 1.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
| Kilmarnock | 1.1 | 1.5 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
ST Mirren sit 8th in Premiership (10 points from 9 matches) and Kilmarnock sit 11th (8 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | ST Mirren | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 10 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 8 |
A question about ST Mirren vs Kilmarnock?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for ST Mirren vs Kilmarnock?
- The Footlab AI model makes Kilmarnock the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for ST Mirren.
- Where and when is ST Mirren vs Kilmarnock played?
- ST Mirren vs Kilmarnock is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The SMISA Stadium, in the Premiership.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.