Dunfermline vs Ayr Utd: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 24Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)KDM Group East End Park, Dunfermline
The Footlab AI model makes Dunfermline the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Ayr Utd. The most likely score is 1-1. If Dunfermline wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,404 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dunfermline vs Ayr Utd?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Dunfermline (1,760) and Ayr Utd (1,708).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dunfermline vs Ayr Utd
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dunfermline
3-4-3- 26A. Tod
- 99O. Adams
- 33J. Cooper
- 47R. Fraser
- 14A. Amade
- 24D. Lobban
- 19Allan Oyirwoth
- 6N. Abdulai
- 15S. Harding
- 25A. Donnelly
- 1A. Oxborough
Ayr Utd
3-4-3- 12Olly Whyte
- 7O. Stirton
- 11R. Taylor
- 6R. Lyon
- 33S. McMann
- 32D. Watret
- 20L. McBeth
- 5K. Holt
- 3L. Dick
- 8L. King
- 1H. Stone
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 02:12 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dunfermline have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Ayr Utd have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ayr Utd(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Aberdeen(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Morton(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Queen's Park(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Arbroath(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dunfermline(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Livingston(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Stenhousemuir(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Queen's Park(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Inverness CT(home) | 1-3 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Dunfermline wins, 2 draws, 2 Ayr Utd wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Ayr Utd 1-1 Dunfermline | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Dunfermline 1-1 Ayr Utd | Championship |
| Apr 7, 2026 | Ayr Utd 0-3 Dunfermline | Championship |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Dunfermline 2-3 Ayr Utd | Championship |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Ayr Utd 0-1 Dunfermline | Championship |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Dunfermline 0-1 Ayr Utd | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Ayr Utd vs Dunfermline on Oct 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Dunfermline score 1.5 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Ayr Utd score 1.5 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dunfermline | 1.5 | 1.0 | 7 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Ayr Utd | 1.5 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dunfermline sit 5th in Championship (13 points from 8 matches) and Ayr Utd sit 7th (12 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Dunfermline | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 13 |
| 7 | Ayr Utd | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
A question about Dunfermline vs Ayr Utd?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dunfermline vs Ayr Utd?
- The Footlab AI model makes Dunfermline the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Ayr Utd.
- Where and when is Dunfermline vs Ayr Utd played?
- Dunfermline vs Ayr Utd is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at KDM Group East End Park, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.