Arbroath vs Livingston: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 24Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Gayfield Park, Arbroath
The Footlab AI model makes Livingston the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Arbroath. The most likely score is 1-1. If Livingston wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,475 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Arbroath vs Livingston?
Livingston starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,753 vs 1,652).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Arbroath vs Livingston
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Arbroath
4-2-3-1- 9A. Winter
- 20S. Constable
- 25J. MacIntyre
- 11R. Dow
- 14M. McKenna
- 8R. Flynn
- 26S. Mackie
- 16C. Watson
- 22C. Dewar
- 6T. Beadling
- 1A. McAdams
Livingston
4-3-3- 9R. Muirhead
- 19B. van Hoeven
- 7T. Sinclair
- 20E. Danso
- 8S. Pittman
- 16C. Palmer
- 23Brooklyn Kabongolo
- 22J. Doherty
- 5R. McGowan
- 26C. Montaño
- 28J. Prior
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 07:56 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Arbroath have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Livingston have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Morton(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Partick(away) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Queen's Park(home) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Stenhousemuir(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Raith Rovers(away) | 0-4 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Partick(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Ayr Utd(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Raith Rovers(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Inverness CT(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Morton(away) | 4-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Arbroath win, 0 draws, 1 Livingston win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Arbroath 1-0 Livingston | Championship |
| Jul 5, 2021 | Livingston 4-0 Arbroath | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Arbroath vs Livingston on Aug 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Arbroath score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Livingston score 1.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arbroath | 0.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Livingston | 1.9 | 0.8 | 7 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Arbroath sit 8th in Championship (11 points from 10 matches) and Livingston sit 4th (13 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Livingston | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 11 | 13 |
| 8 | Arbroath | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 11 |
A question about Arbroath vs Livingston?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Arbroath vs Livingston?
- The Footlab AI model makes Livingston the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Arbroath.
- Where and when is Arbroath vs Livingston played?
- Arbroath vs Livingston is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Gayfield Park, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.