Ayr Utd vs Inverness CT: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 25Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Somerset Park, Ayr
The Footlab AI model makes Ayr Utd the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Inverness CT. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ayr Utd wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,789 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ayr Utd vs Inverness CT?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Ayr Utd (1,674) and Inverness CT (1,753).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ayr Utd vs Inverness CT
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ayr Utd
3-4-3- 12Olly Whyte
- 7O. Stirton
- 11R. Taylor
- 6R. Lyon
- 33S. McMann
- 32D. Watret
- 20L. McBeth
- 5K. Holt
- 3L. Dick
- 8L. King
- 1H. Stone
Inverness CT
4-2-3-1- 9L. Stewart
- 7P. Allan
- 8A. Mackinnon
- 11L. Longstaff
- 16R. Duncan
- 35A. Stewart
- 4G. Shinnie
- 5Remmi Eugene Savage
- 2C. Macleod
- 15K. Smith
- 1R. Munro
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 02:46 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ayr Utd have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Inverness CT have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Partick(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Dunfermline(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Livingston(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Stenhousemuir(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Queen's Park(away) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Arbroath(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Queen's Park(away) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Stenhousemuir(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Morton(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Livingston(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ayr Utd wins, 0 draws, 4 Inverness CT wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Ayr Utd 1-3 Inverness CT | Championship |
| Feb 24, 2026 | Ayr Utd 1-2 Inverness CT | Challenge Cup |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Inverness CT 1-2 Ayr Utd | Championship |
| Jan 6, 2024 | Ayr Utd 1-3 Inverness CT | Championship |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Inverness CT 3-1 Ayr Utd | Championship |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Ayr Utd 1-0 Inverness CT | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Ayr Utd vs Inverness CT on Sep 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ayr Utd score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Inverness CT score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayr Utd | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Inverness CT | 1.3 | 1.1 | 8 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ayr Utd sit 7th in Championship (12 points from 11 matches) and Inverness CT sit 4th (16 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Inverness CT | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 16 |
| 7 | Ayr Utd | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 12 |
A question about Ayr Utd vs Inverness CT?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ayr Utd vs Inverness CT?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ayr Utd the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Inverness CT.
- Where and when is Ayr Utd vs Inverness CT played?
- Ayr Utd vs Inverness CT is played on February 13, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Somerset Park, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.