Raith Rovers vs Stenhousemuir: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 24Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stark's Park, Kirkcaldy
The Footlab AI model makes Raith Rovers the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Stenhousemuir. The most likely score is 1-1. If Raith Rovers wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,422 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Raith Rovers vs Stenhousemuir?
A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Raith Rovers (1,785) and Stenhousemuir (1,792).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Raith Rovers vs Stenhousemuir
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Raith Rovers
4-2-3-1- 9G. Oakley
- 15S. Tiffoney
- 25K. Montagu
- 7A. Lyall
- 20S. Brown
- 11J. Robertson
- 2J. Rowe
- 3Z. Delaney
- 6J. Baird
- 5C. Fordyce
- 1J. Rae
Stenhousemuir
3-4-3- 20G. Stevenson
- 11L. O'Donnell
- 36L. Lloyd
- 2R. Meechan
- 17M. Anderson
- 10A. Shinnie
- 14K. Bilham
- 5S. Young
- 19S. Bright
- 24L. Grant
- 1D. Jamieson
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 09:17 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Raith Rovers have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Stenhousemuir have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Queen's Park(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Morton(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Livingston(home) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Partick(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Arbroath(home) | 4-0 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Inverness CT(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Ayr Utd(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Arbroath(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Partick(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Heart Of Midlothian(home) | 0-3 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Raith Rovers wins, 2 draws, 0 Stenhousemuir wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | Raith Rovers 1-1 Stenhousemuir | Championship |
| Apr 6, 2019 | Stenhousemuir 1-1 Raith Rovers | League One |
| Jan 5, 2019 | Raith Rovers 5-1 Stenhousemuir | League One |
| Nov 17, 2018 | Stenhousemuir 1-3 Raith Rovers | League One |
| Aug 11, 2018 | Raith Rovers 2-0 Stenhousemuir | League One |
Last archived meeting: Raith Rovers vs Stenhousemuir on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Raith Rovers score 1.3 and concede 0.6 goals per match over their last 15; Stenhousemuir score 1.3 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raith Rovers | 1.3 | 0.6 | 7 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Stenhousemuir | 1.3 | 0.7 | 9 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Raith Rovers sit 2nd in Championship (20 points from 10 matches) and Stenhousemuir sit 1st (22 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stenhousemuir | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 22 |
| 2 | Raith Rovers | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 6 | 20 |
A question about Raith Rovers vs Stenhousemuir?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Raith Rovers vs Stenhousemuir?
- The Footlab AI model makes Raith Rovers the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Stenhousemuir.
- Where and when is Raith Rovers vs Stenhousemuir played?
- Raith Rovers vs Stenhousemuir is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stark's Park, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.