Dunkerque vs Dijon: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 24Kick-off on March 5, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stade Marcel-Tribut, Dunkerque
The Footlab AI model makes Dijon the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Dunkerque. The most likely score is 1-1. If Dijon wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Dunkerque vs Dijon?
Dijon starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (1,935 vs 1,823).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Dunkerque vs Dijon
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Dunkerque
4-2-3-1- 19S. Keita
- 11E. Prutsev
- 10A. Lebeau
- 18Théna Massock
- 6J. Morel
- 7K. Ayari
- 27A. Linguet
- 26Opa Sanganté
- 24L. Vallier
- 2O. Touré
- 73Moha Airam
Dijon
4-3-1-2- 11Júlio Tavares
- 9T. Dong
- 14J. Marié
- 8P. Bellon
- 17A. Lembezat
- 20H. Vargas-Ríos
- 23L. Lacroix
- 5Q. Bernard
- 7B. Hamada
- 31M. Faty
- 16P. Delecroix
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 01:32 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Dunkerque have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Dijon have 7, 6 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Annecy(home) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | RAAL La Louvière(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | PAU(away) | 0-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Saint Etienne(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Clermont Foot(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Metz(home) | 4-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Estac Troyes(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Annecy(away) | 2-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Laval(home) | 3-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Boulogne(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Dunkerque win, 0 draws, 1 Dijon win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2022 | Dunkerque 2-1 Dijon | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 18, 2021 | Dijon 2-0 Dunkerque | Ligue 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Dunkerque score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Dijon score 2.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dunkerque | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Dijon | 2.2 | 1.4 | 1 | 13/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Dunkerque sit 12th in Ligue 2 (8 points from 8 matches) and Dijon sit 7th (12 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Dijon | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 12 |
| 12 | Dunkerque | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 8 |
A question about Dunkerque vs Dijon?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Dunkerque vs Dijon?
- The Footlab AI model makes Dijon the favourite at 48%, against 27% for a draw and 25% for Dunkerque.
- Where and when is Dunkerque vs Dijon played?
- Dunkerque vs Dijon is played on March 5, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Marcel-Tribut, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.