Sochaux vs Metz: prediction and stats
Ligue 2Regular Season - 24Kick-off on March 5, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stade Auguste-Bonal, Montbéliard
The Footlab AI model makes Metz the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Sochaux. The most likely score is 1-1. If Metz wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,401 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sochaux vs Metz?
A very open match: only 16 Elo points separate Sochaux (1,860) and Metz (1,844).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Sochaux vs Metz
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Sochaux
4-2-3-1- 9K. Djoco
- 21B. Diawara
- 7B. Gomel
- 77L. Nomel
- 24Y. Demoncy
- 23J. Masson
- 14M. Peybernes
- 26E. N'Gatta
- 3D. Gomis
- 4A. Vitelli
- 40M. Jeannin
Metz
4-2-3-1- 11P. Fall
- 8J. Deminguet
- 9G. Abuashvili
- 18B. Munongo
- 10T. Savanier
- 12A. Touré
- 42C. Devenish
- 70B. Sarr
- 3F. Miguel
- 5J. Ruiz
- 1J. Fischer
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 08:36 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sochaux have 5 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats; Metz have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Boulogne(home) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Neuchatel Xamax FC(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Laval(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Nantes(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | PAU(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Dijon(away) | 2-4 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Saint Etienne(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 14, 2026 | RED Star FC 93(away) | 0-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Rodez(home) | 4-1 | Ligue 2 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Annecy(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Sochaux wins, 2 draws, 4 Metz wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 22, 2026 | Metz 4-1 Sochaux | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 26, 2023 | Sochaux 0-1 Metz | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 15, 2022 | Metz 0-0 Sochaux | Ligue 2 |
| Jul 23, 2022 | Metz 1-0 Sochaux | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 11, 2019 | Metz 1-1 Sochaux | Ligue 2 |
| Oct 8, 2018 | Sochaux 1-2 Metz | Ligue 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Sochaux score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Metz score 2.0 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sochaux | 0.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Metz | 2.0 | 1.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sochaux sit 9th in Ligue 2 (11 points from 8 matches) and Metz sit 10th (10 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Sochaux | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| 10 | Metz | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
A question about Sochaux vs Metz?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sochaux vs Metz?
- The Footlab AI model makes Metz the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Sochaux.
- Where and when is Sochaux vs Metz played?
- Sochaux vs Metz is played on March 5, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Auguste-Bonal, in the Ligue 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.