Match

Saint Etienne vs Guingamp: prediction and stats

Ligue 2Regular Season - 24Kick-off on March 5, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, Saint-Ètienne

Saint EtienneGuingamp

The Footlab AI model makes Saint Etienne the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Guingamp. The most likely score is 2-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,373 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Saint Etienne vs Guingamp?

Saint Etienne starts as the favourite with a 164-point Elo edge (1,955 vs 1,791).

63%22%15%
Saint Etienne winDrawGuingamp win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Saint Etienne vs Guingamp

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Saint Etienne

4-2-3-1
  1. 7I. Cardona
  1. 6M. Bernauer
  2. 8T. Ballo
  3. 14Á. Csongvai
  4. 20A. Boakye
  5. 10J. Breum
  1. 18S. Nair
  2. 23K. Pedro
  3. 11B. Old
  4. 13João Ferreira
  1. 30G. Larsonneur

Guingamp

4-4-2
  1. 22B. Bokangu
  2. 10A. Hemia
  1. 4D. Louiserre
  2. 21T. Ahile
  3. 20S. Ben Brahim
  4. 8F. Da Silva
  1. 2E. Koffi
  2. 5T. Ollila
  3. 36A. Demouchy
  4. 24J. Dianganga
  1. 16Adrián Ortolá

Computed on October 14, 2026 at 07:39 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Saint Etienne have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Guingamp have 3, 3 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Saint Etienne
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Rodez(home)2-0Ligue 2
Oct 2, 2026FC Sion(home)5-1Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026Metz(away)2-2Ligue 2
Sep 12, 2026Dunkerque(away)1-2Ligue 2
Sep 5, 2026Montpellier(home)3-1Ligue 2
Guingamp
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 9, 2026Nancy(away)0-1Ligue 2
Oct 2, 2026Le Mans(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Sep 19, 2026RED Star FC 93(home)1-3Ligue 2
Sep 12, 2026Annecy(home)2-1Ligue 2
Sep 5, 2026Reims(away)2-2Ligue 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Saint Etienne wins, 1 draw, 3 Guingamp wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 14, 2026Guingamp 1-2 Saint EtienneLigue 2
Sep 27, 2025Saint Etienne 2-3 GuingampLigue 2
May 4, 2024Guingamp 2-2 Saint EtienneLigue 2
Dec 5, 2023Saint Etienne 1-3 GuingampLigue 2
May 6, 2023Saint Etienne 3-2 GuingampLigue 2
Sep 17, 2022Guingamp 2-1 Saint EtienneLigue 2

Last archived meeting: Guingamp vs Saint Etienne on Feb 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Saint Etienne score 2.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Guingamp score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Saint Etienne2.41.359/1512/15
Guingamp1.11.718/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Saint Etienne sit 1st in Ligue 2 (19 points from 8 matches) and Guingamp sit 11th (8 points from 8 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Saint Etienne861121819
11Guingamp822410138

A question about Saint Etienne vs Guingamp?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Saint Etienne vs Guingamp?
The Footlab AI model makes Saint Etienne the favourite at 63%, against 22% for a draw and 15% for Guingamp.
Where and when is Saint Etienne vs Guingamp played?
Saint Etienne vs Guingamp is played on March 5, 2027 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, in the Ligue 2.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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