Duque de Caxias vs Paduano: result 2-1 and analysis
Carioca - 21st Phase - 5Kick-off on September 24, 2022 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Romário de Souza Faria, Duque de Caxias, Rio de Janeiro
Full time
What was the result of Duque de Caxias vs Paduano?
Duque de Caxias won 2-1 on September 24, 2022.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Duque de Caxias have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Paduano have 1, 1 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 2022 | São Gonçalo / Niterói(away) | 3-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 17, 2022 | 7 de Abril(home) | 1-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 10, 2022 | Rio São Paulo(away) | 4-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 4, 2022 | Pérolas Negras(home) | 1-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Nov 17, 2021 | Nova Cidade(away) | 2-2 | Carioca - 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2022 | CEAC / Araruama(away) | 0-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 10, 2022 | Nova Cidade(away) | 3-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 4, 2022 | São Gonçalo / Niterói(home) | 0-0 | Carioca - 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Duque de Caxias score 1.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Paduano score 1.0 and concede 0.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duque de Caxias | 1.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Paduano | 1.0 | 0.3 | 2 | 0/3 | 1/3 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Duque de Caxias | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | 12 |
A question about Duque de Caxias vs Paduano?
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy