Duque de Caxias vs Artsul: prediction and stats
Carioca - 2Regular Season - 8Kick-off on October 21, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Romário de Souza Faria, Duque de Caxias, Rio de Janeiro
The Footlab AI model makes Duque de Caxias the favourite at 43%, against 31% for a draw and 26% for Artsul. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,920 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Duque de Caxias vs Artsul?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Duque de Caxias (1,519) and Artsul (1,472).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Duque de Caxias vs Artsul
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Duque de Caxias
4-3-3- RRafael de Sa Rodrigues
- MMatheus Cardoso de Souza
- DDudu
- HHarison
- BBruno Arrabal Passamani
- SSampson
- DDiego Evangelista dos Santos
- BBruno Moura
- BBruno Everton Ferreira de Sousa
- HHenrique Motta
- RRafael Roballo
Artsul
Not enough data to predict the Artsul lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 05:21 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Duque de Caxias have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Artsul have 5, 7 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Campo Grande(away) | 3-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Audax Rio(home) | 1-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Goytacaz(away) | 1-2 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Niteroiense(home) | 0-2 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | São Cristóvão RJ(away) | 1-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Nova Cidade(home) | 1-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Petrópolis(away) | 1-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Serrano RJ(home) | 3-4 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Macaé(away) | 0-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Carapebus(home) | 0-0 | Carioca - 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Duque de Caxias win, 4 draws, 0 Artsul wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2025 | Duque de Caxias 1-0 Artsul | Carioca - 2 |
| Jul 31, 2024 | Artsul 0-0 Duque de Caxias | Carioca A2 |
| Jun 13, 2021 | Artsul 1-1 Duque de Caxias | Carioca A2 |
| Oct 31, 2020 | Artsul 1-1 Duque de Caxias | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 4, 2019 | Artsul 0-0 Duque de Caxias | Carioca - 2 |
Last archived meeting: Duque de Caxias vs Artsul on Sep 20, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Duque de Caxias score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Artsul score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 35% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duque de Caxias | 1.3 | 1.1 | 7 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
| Artsul | 1.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Duque de Caxias sit 2nd in Carioca - 2 (15 points from 7 matches) and Artsul sit 6th (10 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Duque de Caxias | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 15 |
| 6 | Artsul | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 10 |
A question about Duque de Caxias vs Artsul?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Duque de Caxias vs Artsul?
- The Footlab AI model makes Duque de Caxias the favourite at 43%, against 31% for a draw and 26% for Artsul.
- Where and when is Duque de Caxias vs Artsul played?
- Duque de Caxias vs Artsul is played on October 21, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio Romário de Souza Faria, in the Carioca - 2.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.