Duque de Caxias vs Serrano RJ: result 3-2 and analysis
Carioca - 2Group Stage - 10Kick-off on November 3, 2023 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Estádio Romário de Souza Faria, Duque de Caxias, Rio de Janeiro
Full time
What was the result of Duque de Caxias vs Serrano RJ?
Duque de Caxias won 3-2 on November 3, 2023.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Duque de Caxias have 8 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats; Serrano RJ have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2023 | Barra da Tijuca(away) | 0-1 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 25, 2023 | 7 de Abril(home) | 4-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Paduano(away) | 0-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Friburguense(away) | 1-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 7, 2023 | São Gonçalo EC RJ(home) | 1-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2023 | São Gonçalo EC RJ(home) | 4-3 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 25, 2023 | Goytacaz(away) | 2-2 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 21, 2023 | Serra Macaense(home) | 2-2 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Macaé(away) | 1-0 | Carioca - 2 |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Nova Cidade(home) | 3-0 | Carioca - 2 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Duque de Caxias wins, 1 draw, 0 Serrano RJ wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 1, 2022 | Duque de Caxias 1-1 Serrano RJ | Carioca - 2 |
| Nov 6, 2021 | Serrano RJ 0-1 Duque de Caxias | Carioca - 2 |
| Sep 30, 2020 | Serrano RJ 0-3 Duque de Caxias | Carioca - 2 |
| Jul 6, 2019 | Duque de Caxias 2-0 Serrano RJ | Carioca - 2 |
Last archived meeting: Duque de Caxias vs Serrano RJ on Oct 1, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Duque de Caxias score 1.3 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Serrano RJ score 1.8 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Duque de Caxias | 1.3 | 0.9 | 8 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
| Serrano RJ | 1.8 | 1.1 | 7 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Duque de Caxias sit 2nd in Carioca - 2 (18 points from 8 matches) and Serrano RJ sit 3rd (18 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Duque de Caxias | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 6 | 18 |
| 3 | Serrano RJ | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 7 | 18 |
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy