Durango vs Amurrio Club: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 28Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Tabira, Durango
The Footlab AI model makes Durango the favourite at 76%, against 17% for a draw and 7% for Amurrio Club. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,244 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Durango vs Amurrio Club?
Durango starts as the favourite with a 181-point Elo edge (1,749 vs 1,568).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Durango vs Amurrio Club
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Durango
Not enough data to predict the Durango lineup.
Amurrio Club
Not enough data to predict the Amurrio Club lineup.
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 04:49 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Durango have 6 wins, 7 draws and 2 defeats; Amurrio Club have 2, 1 and 12.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Eibar III(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Nov 1, 2026 | R. Union B(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Pasaia KE(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Lagun Onak(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Derio(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Beasain(away) | 0-6 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Aretxabaleta(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Santurtzi(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | San Ignacio(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Real Sociedad III(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Durango wins, 0 draws, 0 Amurrio Club wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2022 | Durango 1-0 Amurrio Club | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Oct 30, 2021 | Amurrio Club 0-1 Durango | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
Last archived meeting: Durango vs Amurrio Club on Mar 5, 2022
How many goals should we expect?
Durango score 1.5 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Amurrio Club score 0.9 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Durango | 1.5 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Amurrio Club | 0.9 | 2.2 | 1 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Durango sit 5th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 (17 points from 10 matches) and Amurrio Club sit 18th (1 point from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Durango | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 16 | 11 | 17 |
| 18 | Amurrio Club | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 24 | 1 |
A question about Durango vs Amurrio Club?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Durango vs Amurrio Club?
- The Footlab AI model makes Durango the favourite at 76%, against 17% for a draw and 7% for Amurrio Club.
- Where and when is Durango vs Amurrio Club played?
- Durango vs Amurrio Club is played on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Tabira, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.