Santurtzi vs Sodupe: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 28Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio San Jorge, Santurtzi
The Footlab model makes Santurtzi the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Sodupe. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Santurtzi vs Sodupe?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Santurtzi (1,684) and Sodupe (1,660).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santurtzi have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Sodupe have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Eibar III(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 9, 2026 | Durango(away) | 1-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| May 3, 2026 | Aretxabaleta(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Zamudio(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Zarautz(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 12, 2021 | JD Somorrostro(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Jun 5, 2021 | Urgatzi(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| May 29, 2021 | Tolosa(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| May 22, 2021 | Aurrerá Ondarroa(away) | 0-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| May 15, 2021 | Balmaseda(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Santurtzi win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Sodupe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2021 | Sodupe 0-1 Santurtzi | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Dec 5, 2020 | Santurtzi 2-2 Sodupe | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Feb 8, 2020 | Sodupe 3-0 Santurtzi | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 18, 2019 | Santurtzi 2-1 Sodupe | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Santurtzi score 0.8 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sodupe score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santurtzi | 0.8 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Sodupe | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Santurtzi | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 32 | 45 | 39 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Santurtzi vs Sodupe?
- The Footlab model makes Santurtzi the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 32% for Sodupe.
- Where and when is Santurtzi vs Sodupe played?
- Santurtzi vs Sodupe is played on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio San Jorge, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.