Pasaia KE vs Touring: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 28Kick-off on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Campo de fútbol Jesus Mari Zamora, Errenteria
The Footlab model makes Touring the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Pasaia KE. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pasaia KE vs Touring?
Touring starts as the favourite with a 155-point Elo edge (1,782 vs 1,627).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pasaia KE have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Touring have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Eibar III(away) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| May 3, 2026 | Añorga(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Durango(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Aretxabaleta(home) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Zamudio(away) | 0-7 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Beasain(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 23, 2026 | Leioa(away) | 3-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| May 16, 2026 | Leioa(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| May 9, 2026 | San Ignacio(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| May 3, 2026 | Derio(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Pasaia KE win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Touring win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Touring 1-1 Pasaia KE | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Pasaia KE 0-0 Touring | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Touring 2-1 Pasaia KE | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Pasaia KE 1-2 Touring | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Touring 1-1 Pasaia KE | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
| Dec 16, 2023 | Pasaia KE 2-1 Touring | Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 |
How many goals should we expect?
Pasaia KE score 0.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Touring score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pasaia KE | 0.8 | 1.7 | 5 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Touring | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pasaia KE sit 14th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 (36 points from 34 matches) and Touring sit 5th (57 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Touring | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 47 | 35 | 57 |
| 14 | Pasaia KE | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 26 | 46 | 36 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pasaia KE vs Touring?
- The Footlab model makes Touring the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Pasaia KE.
- Where and when is Pasaia KE vs Touring played?
- Pasaia KE vs Touring is played on March 28, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Campo de fútbol Jesus Mari Zamora, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.