Durban City vs Marumo Gallants: prediction and stats
Premier Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on December 15, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Durban City the favourite at 50%, against 30% for a draw and 21% for Marumo Gallants. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Durban City vs Marumo Gallants?
A very open match: only 74 Elo points separate Durban City (1,733) and Marumo Gallants (1,659).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Durban City have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Marumo Gallants have 1, 8 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Kruger United(away) | 2-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Richards Bay(home) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Golden Arrows(home) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Orlando Pirates(away) | 1-2 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Sekhukhune United(away) | 0-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | TS Galaxy(home) | 2-3 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns(away) | 0-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Stellenbosch(away) | 1-3 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Kruger United(home) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 23, 2026 | Stellenbosch(home) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Durban City win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Marumo Gallants win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2026 | Marumo Gallants 0-1 Durban City | Premier Soccer League |
| Nov 5, 2025 | Durban City 1-0 Marumo Gallants | Premier Soccer League |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Durban City 0-0 Marumo Gallants | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Marumo Gallants vs Durban City on Mar 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Durban City score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Marumo Gallants score 0.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 36% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Durban City | 0.8 | 1.1 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Marumo Gallants | 0.8 | 1.4 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Durban City sit 7th in Premier Soccer League (5 points from 4 matches) and Marumo Gallants sit 15th (1 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Durban City | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| 15 | Marumo Gallants | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Durban City vs Marumo Gallants?
- The Footlab model makes Durban City the favourite at 50%, against 30% for a draw and 21% for Marumo Gallants.
- Where and when is Durban City vs Marumo Gallants played?
- Durban City vs Marumo Gallants is played on December 15, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC), in the Premier Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 36% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.