Richards Bay vs Orlando Pirates: prediction and stats
Premier Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on December 16, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)King Goodwill Zwelithini Stadium, Durban, KN
The Footlab AI model makes Orlando Pirates the favourite at 62%, against 25% for a draw and 13% for Richards Bay. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Richards Bay vs Orlando Pirates?
Orlando Pirates is a heavy favourite: 2,034 Elo points against 1,677, a 357-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Richards Bay vs Orlando Pirates
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Richards Bay
4-3-3- 20M. Mthembu
- 27N. Xulu
- 19S. Nzama
- 77L. Khumalo
- 12S. Gumbi
- 8L. Zikhali
- 25S. Mcineka
- 22L. Mabuya
- 37S. Gwele
- 5T. Sikhakhane
- 1Ian Aubrey Otieno
Orlando Pirates
4-2-3-1- 25B. Radiopane
- 33T. Mokobodi
- 20S. Selepe
- 48S. Masilela
- 23G. Lungu
- 12O. Appollis
- 6L. Seema
- 5N. Sibisi
- 3N. Ndaba
- 36K. Sebelebele
- 24S. Chaine
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 07:50 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Richards Bay have 1 win, 8 draws and 6 defeats; Orlando Pirates have 12, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns(home) | 1-4 | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sekhukhune United(home) | 2-3 | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Milford FC(away) | 1-5 | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Amazulu(home) | 1-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Kaizer Chiefs(home) | 2-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | African Stars(away) | 1-0 | CAF Champions League |
| Oct 13, 2026 | TS Galaxy(home) | 3-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns(home) | 0-2 | 8 Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Marumo Gallants(away) | 2-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 17, 2026 | Durban City(home) | 2-0 | Premier Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Richards Bay wins, 1 draw, 5 Orlando Pirates wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | Richards Bay 2-2 Orlando Pirates | Premier Soccer League |
| Mar 11, 2026 | Orlando Pirates 2-0 Richards Bay | Premier Soccer League |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Richards Bay 0-1 Orlando Pirates | League Cup |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Richards Bay 1-3 Orlando Pirates | Cup |
| Nov 5, 2024 | Orlando Pirates 1-0 Richards Bay | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Richards Bay 0-1 Orlando Pirates | Premier Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: Richards Bay vs Orlando Pirates on Apr 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Richards Bay score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Orlando Pirates score 1.9 and concede 0.3. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richards Bay | 1.0 | 1.7 | 3 | 11/15 | 7/15 |
| Orlando Pirates | 1.9 | 0.3 | 11 | 3/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Richards Bay sit 15th in Premier Soccer League (3 points from 8 matches) and Orlando Pirates sit 2nd (22 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Orlando Pirates | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
| 15 | Richards Bay | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20 | 3 |
A question about Richards Bay vs Orlando Pirates?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Richards Bay vs Orlando Pirates?
- The Footlab AI model makes Orlando Pirates the favourite at 62%, against 25% for a draw and 13% for Richards Bay.
- Where and when is Richards Bay vs Orlando Pirates played?
- Richards Bay vs Orlando Pirates is played on December 16, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at King Goodwill Zwelithini Stadium, in the Premier Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.