Richards Bay vs Orlando Pirates: prediction and stats
Premier Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 13Kick-off on December 16, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)King Goodwill Zwelithini Stadium, Durban, KN
The Footlab model makes Orlando Pirates the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 13% for Richards Bay. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Richards Bay vs Orlando Pirates?
Orlando Pirates is a heavy favourite: 2,026 Elo points against 1,710 — a 316-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Richards Bay have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Orlando Pirates have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Durban City(away) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Chippa United(away) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Polokwane City(home) | 1-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 23, 2026 | Magesi(away) | 0-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 16, 2026 | Sekhukhune United(home) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sekhukhune United(away) | 1-0 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Chippa United(away) | 3-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Amazulu(away) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Durban City(home) | 2-1 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Milford FC(home) | 2-0 | Premier Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Richards Bay win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Orlando Pirates win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | Richards Bay 2-2 Orlando Pirates | Premier Soccer League |
| Mar 11, 2026 | Orlando Pirates 2-0 Richards Bay | Premier Soccer League |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Richards Bay 0-1 Orlando Pirates | League Cup |
| Jan 26, 2025 | Richards Bay 1-3 Orlando Pirates | Cup |
| Nov 5, 2024 | Orlando Pirates 1-0 Richards Bay | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Richards Bay 0-1 Orlando Pirates | Premier Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: Richards Bay vs Orlando Pirates on Apr 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Richards Bay score 0.8 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Orlando Pirates score 1.5 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 43% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richards Bay | 0.8 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Orlando Pirates | 1.5 | 0.6 | 8 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Richards Bay sit 11th in Premier Soccer League (2 points from 3 matches) and Orlando Pirates sit 1st (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orlando Pirates | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| 11 | Richards Bay | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Richards Bay vs Orlando Pirates?
- The Footlab model makes Orlando Pirates the favourite at 63%, against 23% for a draw and 13% for Richards Bay.
- Where and when is Richards Bay vs Orlando Pirates played?
- Richards Bay vs Orlando Pirates is played on December 16, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at King Goodwill Zwelithini Stadium, in the Premier Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.