Marumo Gallants vs Kaizer Chiefs: prediction and stats
Premier Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Thohoyandou Stadium, Thohoyandou
The Footlab AI model makes Kaizer Chiefs the favourite at 49%, against 31% for a draw and 20% for Marumo Gallants. The most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,930 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marumo Gallants vs Kaizer Chiefs?
Kaizer Chiefs starts as the favourite with a 189-point Elo edge (1,829 vs 1,640).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Marumo Gallants vs Kaizer Chiefs
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Marumo Gallants
4-1-4-1- 38Samkele Sihlali
- 15N. Ndlondlo
- 18M. Ndlovu
- 13K. Ncube
- 8S. Mbhele
- 5D. Manaka
- 3S. Ntiya-Ntiya
- 22M. Rikhotso
- 44M. Sikakane
- 37N. Ralenkoane
- 30E.Lako
Kaizer Chiefs
4-2-3-1- 47W. Duba
- 28Mfundo Vilakazi
- 5S. Mthethwa
- 39R. Frosler
- 7M. Shabalala
- 6L. Maboe
- 84Inácio Miguel
- 42T. Moloisane
- 48B. Cross
- 2T. Monyane
- 16R. Leaner
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 11:40 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marumo Gallants have 0 wins, 9 draws and 6 defeats; Kaizer Chiefs have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Sekhukhune United(away) | 1-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Orlando Pirates(home) | 0-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Amazulu(away) | 0-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Polokwane City(home) | 2-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 25, 2026 | TS Galaxy(home) | 2-3 | Premier Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Red Arrows(away) | 0-1 | CAF Confederation Cup |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Stellenbosch(home) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Golden Arrows(away) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Polokwane City(away) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Siwelele(home) | 3-2 | Premier Soccer League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Marumo Gallants win, 3 draws, 2 Kaizer Chiefs wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2026 | Marumo Gallants 0-1 Kaizer Chiefs | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Kaizer Chiefs 1-1 Marumo Gallants | Premier Soccer League |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Kaizer Chiefs 1-2 Marumo Gallants | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Marumo Gallants 1-2 Kaizer Chiefs | Premier Soccer League |
| Apr 8, 2023 | Kaizer Chiefs 1-1 Marumo Gallants | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 11, 2022 | Marumo Gallants 1-1 Kaizer Chiefs | Premier Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: Marumo Gallants vs Kaizer Chiefs on Jan 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Marumo Gallants score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Kaizer Chiefs score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marumo Gallants | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
| Kaizer Chiefs | 1.2 | 0.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marumo Gallants sit 16th in Premier Soccer League (2 points from 8 matches) and Kaizer Chiefs sit 5th (14 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Kaizer Chiefs | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 13 | 8 | 14 |
| 16 | Marumo Gallants | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 2 |
A question about Marumo Gallants vs Kaizer Chiefs?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marumo Gallants vs Kaizer Chiefs?
- The Footlab AI model makes Kaizer Chiefs the favourite at 49%, against 31% for a draw and 20% for Marumo Gallants.
- Where and when is Marumo Gallants vs Kaizer Chiefs played?
- Marumo Gallants vs Kaizer Chiefs is played on December 19, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Thohoyandou Stadium, in the Premier Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.