Marumo Gallants vs Kaizer Chiefs: prediction and stats
Premier Soccer LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Thohoyandou Stadium, Thohoyandou
The Footlab model makes Kaizer Chiefs the favourite at 46%, against 31% for a draw and 23% for Marumo Gallants. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marumo Gallants vs Kaizer Chiefs?
Kaizer Chiefs starts as the favourite with a 183-point Elo edge (1,842 vs 1,659).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marumo Gallants have 1 wins, 8 draws and 6 defeats; Kaizer Chiefs have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns(away) | 0-2 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Stellenbosch(away) | 1-3 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Kruger United(home) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 23, 2026 | Stellenbosch(home) | 0-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| May 16, 2026 | Polokwane City(away) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns(home) | 1-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Sekhukhune United(home) | 2-0 | Premier Soccer League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Golden Arrows(home) | 0-1 | 8 Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kruger United(away) | 3-1 | Premier Soccer League |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Elche(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Marumo Gallants win(s), 3 draw(s), 2 Kaizer Chiefs win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2026 | Marumo Gallants 0-1 Kaizer Chiefs | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 24, 2025 | Kaizer Chiefs 1-1 Marumo Gallants | Premier Soccer League |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Kaizer Chiefs 1-2 Marumo Gallants | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Marumo Gallants 1-2 Kaizer Chiefs | Premier Soccer League |
| Apr 8, 2023 | Kaizer Chiefs 1-1 Marumo Gallants | Premier Soccer League |
| Sep 11, 2022 | Marumo Gallants 1-1 Kaizer Chiefs | Premier Soccer League |
Last archived meeting: Marumo Gallants vs Kaizer Chiefs on Jan 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Marumo Gallants score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Kaizer Chiefs score 1.4 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 32% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marumo Gallants | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Kaizer Chiefs | 1.4 | 0.8 | 5 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marumo Gallants sit 16th in Premier Soccer League (1 points from 3 matches) and Kaizer Chiefs sit 2nd (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kaizer Chiefs | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 7 |
| 16 | Marumo Gallants | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marumo Gallants vs Kaizer Chiefs?
- The Footlab model makes Kaizer Chiefs the favourite at 46%, against 31% for a draw and 23% for Marumo Gallants.
- Where and when is Marumo Gallants vs Kaizer Chiefs played?
- Marumo Gallants vs Kaizer Chiefs is played on December 19, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Thohoyandou Stadium, in the Premier Soccer League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 32% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.