Düren Merzenich vs Hürth: prediction and stats
Oberliga - MittelrheinMittelrhein - 2Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Westkampfbahn, Düren
The Footlab model makes Düren Merzenich the favourite at 43%, against 22% for a draw and 35% for Hürth. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Düren Merzenich vs Hürth?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Düren Merzenich (1,732) and Hürth (1,694).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Düren Merzenich have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Hürth have 1, 6 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Fortuna Köln II(home) | 2-5 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 31, 2026 | Eintracht Hohkeppel(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 22, 2026 | TuS BW Königsdorf(home) | 2-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 17, 2026 | Bornheim(away) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 10, 2026 | Siegburger SV(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | SF Baumberg(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 15, 2025 | Porz(away) | 3-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Jun 9, 2025 | Frechen(home) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Jun 1, 2025 | VfL Vichttal(away) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| May 25, 2025 | Bergisch Gladbach(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Düren Merzenich win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Hürth win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 2024 | Düren Merzenich 4-0 Hürth | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 8, 2022 | Hürth 1-1 Düren Merzenich | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
| Oct 24, 2021 | Düren Merzenich 5-2 Hürth | Oberliga - Mittelrhein |
Last archived meeting: Düren Merzenich vs Hürth on Jul 21, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Düren Merzenich score 1.5 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Hürth score 1.0 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Düren Merzenich | 1.5 | 2.2 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Hürth | 1.0 | 2.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Düren Merzenich | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 49 | 59 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Düren Merzenich vs Hürth?
- The Footlab model makes Düren Merzenich the favourite at 43%, against 22% for a draw and 35% for Hürth.
- Where and when is Düren Merzenich vs Hürth played?
- Düren Merzenich vs Hürth is played on September 6, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Westkampfbahn, in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.