Durham W vs Watford W: prediction and stats
Women's ChampionshipRegular Season - 20Kick-off on April 11, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Maiden Castle Sports Park, Durham, County Durham
The Footlab AI model makes Watford W the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Durham W. The most likely score is 1-1. If Watford W wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 3,129 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Durham W vs Watford W?
A very open match: only 8 Elo points separate Durham W (1,779) and Watford W (1,771).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Durham W vs Watford W
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Durham W
4-3-3- 11J. Pennock
- 19Bayley Hutchison
- 10G. Ede
- 7B. Hepple
- 23R. Lowe
- 24E. Morran
- 5S. Wilson
- 3L. Briggs
- 4M. McComasky
- 2G. Ayre
- 35C. Sheppard
Watford W
4-3-3- 11T. Teisar
- 16K. Muya
- 20S. Noonan
- 15A. Clancy
- 19E. Noble
- 24V. Jones
- 5L. Lyon
- 22G. Neville
- 2Z. Bailey
- 6H. Greenwood
- 39S. Middleton-Patel
Computed on October 24, 2026 at 04:46 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Durham W have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Watford W have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2026 | Birmingham City W(home) | 0-5 | WSL Cup |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Burnley W(away) | 2-3 | WSL Cup |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Newcastle United W(home) | 0-3 | Women's Championship |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Manchester United W(home) | 1-5 | WSL Cup |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sheffield United W(away) | 1-4 | Women's Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Leicester City FC W(home) | 2-2 | WSL Cup |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Wolverhampton W(away) | 2-2 | Women's Championship |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sunderland W(home) | 1-2 | Women's Championship |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Crystal Palace W(away) | 0-1 | WSL Cup |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bristol City W(home) | 1-5 | Women's Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Durham W win, 2 draws, 1 Watford W win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 28, 2024 | Durham W 0-2 Watford W | Women's Championship |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Watford W 1-1 Durham W | Women's Championship |
| Apr 3, 2022 | Watford W 3-3 Durham W | Women's Championship |
| Aug 29, 2021 | Durham W 2-1 Watford W | Women's Championship |
Last archived meeting: Durham W vs Watford W on Jan 28, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Durham W score 1.1 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 15; Watford W score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Durham W | 1.1 | 2.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 13/15 |
| Watford W | 1.5 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Durham W sit 12th in Women's Championship (0 points from 5 matches) and Watford W sit 10th (3 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Watford W | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 3 |
| 12 | Durham W | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 0 |
A question about Durham W vs Watford W?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Durham W vs Watford W?
- The Footlab AI model makes Watford W the favourite at 46%, against 24% for a draw and 30% for Durham W.
- Where and when is Durham W vs Watford W played?
- Durham W vs Watford W is played on April 11, 2027 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Maiden Castle Sports Park, in the Women's Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.