Düzcespor vs Fatsa Belediyespor: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 13. Lig Group 1 - 29Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)18 Temmuz Stadyumu, Düzce
The Footlab model makes Düzcespor the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Fatsa Belediyespor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Düzcespor vs Fatsa Belediyespor?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Düzcespor (1,557) and Fatsa Belediyespor (1,547).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Düzcespor have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Fatsa Belediyespor have 4, 1 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Tokat Bld Plevnespor(away) | 0-2 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Yeni Orduspor(home) | 2-2 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Giresunspor(away) | 0-2 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Pazarspor(home) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Fatsa Belediyespor(away) | 2-1 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2026 | Yeni Orduspor(away) | 1-4 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Yeni Orduspor(home) | 1-3 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Çayelispor(home) | 5-1 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Amasyaspor 1968(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Karabük İdman Yurdu(home) | 2-3 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Düzcespor win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Fatsa Belediyespor win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2026 | Fatsa Belediyespor 1-2 Düzcespor | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Düzcespor 0-1 Fatsa Belediyespor | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Fatsa Belediyespor vs Düzcespor on Mar 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Düzcespor score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Fatsa Belediyespor score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Düzcespor | 0.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Fatsa Belediyespor | 1.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Düzcespor vs Fatsa Belediyespor?
- The Footlab model makes Düzcespor the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Fatsa Belediyespor.
- Where and when is Düzcespor vs Fatsa Belediyespor played?
- Düzcespor vs Fatsa Belediyespor is played on March 21, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at 18 Temmuz Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 21, 2027Beykoz AnadoluvsOrduspor 1967
- Mar 21, 2027Zonguldak KömürsporvsAmasyaspor 1968
- Mar 21, 2027PazarsporvsKaradeniz Ereğli BSK
- Mar 21, 2027Karabük İdman YurduvsBeykoz İshaklıspor
- Mar 21, 2027Tokat Bld PlevnesporvsGölcükspor
- Mar 21, 2027Küçükçekmece SinopsporvsKartal Bulvarspor
- Mar 21, 2027GalatavsYalova Yeşilovaspor
- Mar 21, 2027İnkılapsporvsSilivrispor