Pazarspor vs Karadeniz Ereğli BSK: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 13. Lig Group 1 - 29Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Pazar İlçe Stadyumu, Pazar
The Footlab model makes Pazarspor the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Karadeniz Ereğli BSK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pazarspor vs Karadeniz Ereğli BSK?
A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Pazarspor (1,593) and Karadeniz Ereğli BSK (1,638).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pazarspor have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Karadeniz Ereğli BSK have 10, 1 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Amasyaspor 1968(home) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Karabük İdman Yurdu(away) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Zonguldak Kömürspor(home) | 3-3 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Düzcespor(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Tokat Bld Plevnespor(home) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 28, 2026 | Yozgat Bld Bozokspor(home) | 0-3 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 24, 2026 | Yozgat Bld Bozokspor(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Play-offs |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Orduspor 1967(home) | 5-3 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | 1926 Bulancak(away) | 0-1 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Çayelispor(home) | 1-0 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Pazarspor win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Karadeniz Ereğli BSK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2026 | Karadeniz Ereğli BSK 0-3 Pazarspor | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Oct 5, 2025 | Pazarspor 0-0 Karadeniz Ereğli BSK | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
Last archived meeting: Karadeniz Ereğli BSK vs Pazarspor on Feb 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pazarspor score 1.0 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Karadeniz Ereğli BSK score 1.2 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pazarspor | 1.0 | 0.5 | 10 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
| Karadeniz Ereğli BSK | 1.2 | 0.9 | 8 | 3/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pazarspor vs Karadeniz Ereğli BSK?
- The Footlab model makes Pazarspor the favourite at 36%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Karadeniz Ereğli BSK.
- Where and when is Pazarspor vs Karadeniz Ereğli BSK played?
- Pazarspor vs Karadeniz Ereğli BSK is played on March 21, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Pazar İlçe Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Mar 21, 2027Beykoz AnadoluvsOrduspor 1967
- Mar 21, 2027Zonguldak KömürsporvsAmasyaspor 1968
- Mar 21, 2027DüzcesporvsFatsa Belediyespor
- Mar 21, 2027Karabük İdman YurduvsBeykoz İshaklıspor
- Mar 21, 2027Tokat Bld PlevnesporvsGölcükspor
- Mar 21, 2027Küçükçekmece SinopsporvsKartal Bulvarspor
- Mar 21, 2027GalatavsYalova Yeşilovaspor
- Mar 21, 2027İnkılapsporvsSilivrispor