Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Gölcükspor: prediction and stats
3. Lig - Group 13. Lig Group 1 - 29Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Yeni Erbaa Stadyumu, Tokat
The Footlab model makes Tokat Bld Plevnespor the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Gölcükspor. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Gölcükspor?
A very open match: only 51 Elo points separate Tokat Bld Plevnespor (1,549) and Gölcükspor (1,498).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tokat Bld Plevnespor have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Gölcükspor have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Düzcespor(home) | 2-0 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Yozgat Bld Bozokspor(away) | 0-2 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Apr 5, 2026 | Yeni Orduspor(away) | 0-6 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Giresunspor(home) | 2-0 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Pazarspor(away) | 0-0 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2023 | Arnavutköy Belediyespor(away) | 1-2 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Oct 10, 2023 | Bursaspor(away) | 2-1 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Sep 27, 2023 | Bartınspor(home) | 3-0 | Türkiye Kupası |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Gebzespor(home) | 2-0 | Türkiye Kupası |
| May 1, 2021 | Arhavispor(home) | 5-2 | 3. Lig - Group 3 |
How many goals should we expect?
Tokat Bld Plevnespor score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Gölcükspor score 1.6 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tokat Bld Plevnespor | 1.1 | 1.2 | 7 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Gölcükspor | 1.6 | 1.6 | 2 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Gölcükspor?
- The Footlab model makes Tokat Bld Plevnespor the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 31% for Gölcükspor.
- Where and when is Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Gölcükspor played?
- Tokat Bld Plevnespor vs Gölcükspor is played on March 21, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Yeni Erbaa Stadyumu, in the 3. Lig - Group 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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