DVS 33 Ermelo vs Sportlust '46: result 0-1 and analysis
Derde DivisieZaterdag - 4Kick-off on September 11, 2021 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Zuid DVS '33, Ermelo
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What was the result of DVS 33 Ermelo vs Sportlust '46?
Sportlust '46 won 0-1 on September 11, 2021.
Goalscorers
- 20′?Sportlust '46
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, DVS 33 Ermelo have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Sportlust '46 have 6, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2021 | Harkemase Boys(away) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 28, 2021 | Staphorst(home) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 21, 2021 | Ajax Amateurs(away) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 6, 2020 | Dovo(away) | 1-0 | KNVB Beker |
| Oct 3, 2020 | HSV ODIN 59(away) | 2-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2021 | Ter Leede(home) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 28, 2021 | Vvsb(away) | 0-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 21, 2021 | SteDoCo(home) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 14, 2021 | GOES(away) | 0-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 3, 2021 | Excelsior Maassluis(home) | 3-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
DVS 33 Ermelo score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sportlust '46 score 1.2 and concede 1.3.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DVS 33 Ermelo | 1.3 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Sportlust '46 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 5/12 | 6/12 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
DVS 33 Ermelo sit 16th in Derde Divisie (0 points from 2 matches) and Sportlust '46 sit 11th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Sportlust '46 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| 16 | DVS 33 Ermelo | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy