Eemdijk vs Sportlust '46: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 23, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Vinken, Bunschoten
The Footlab AI model makes Eemdijk the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Sportlust '46. The most likely score is 1-1. If Eemdijk wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,919 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eemdijk vs Sportlust '46?
A very open match: only 44 Elo points separate Eemdijk (1,750) and Sportlust '46 (1,794).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Eemdijk vs Sportlust '46
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Eemdijk
4-3-3- 10A. Selimi
- 9N. Kroonenberg
- 7J. van Dalen
- 26T. Hilhorst
- 17J. van den Dikkenberg
- 8J. van Groen
- 3Jasper Beekhuis
- 2Z. Beukers
- 5F. van Belzen
- 4L. Ruizendaal
- 31W. Beukers
Sportlust '46
3-4-2-1- 32Nordin Zoufri
- 6A. Lemrini
- 10I. van Otterlo
- 8M. Fichtinger
- 21C. van Hussen
- 7Kesly den Haag
- 5Martijn Jansen
- 4Fabio Helderton
- 3Coen van der Hoek
- 25Kjeld van den Hoek
- 1S. Damkalis
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 01:09 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eemdijk have 6 wins, 1 draw and 8 defeats; Sportlust '46 have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Hercules(home) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | DVS 33 Ermelo(away) | 2-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | TEC(away) | 2-7 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Roosendaal(home) | 2-1 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sparta Nijkerk(home) | 0-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | ADO '20(home) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hercules(away) | 0-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Excelsior '31(home) | 0-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | DVS 33 Ermelo(away) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Excelsior Maassluis(home) | 0-2 | KNVB Beker |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Eemdijk wins, 2 draws, 2 Sportlust '46 wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Sportlust '46 4-2 Eemdijk | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Eemdijk 1-2 Sportlust '46 | Derde Divisie |
| Jan 11, 2025 | Eemdijk 4-4 Sportlust '46 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Sportlust '46 0-0 Eemdijk | Derde Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Sportlust '46 vs Eemdijk on Feb 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Eemdijk score 1.6 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Sportlust '46 score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eemdijk | 1.6 | 2.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 14/15 |
| Sportlust '46 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eemdijk sit 14th in Derde Divisie (7 points from 9 matches) and Sportlust '46 sit 7th (19 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Sportlust '46 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 14 | 19 |
| 14 | Eemdijk | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 28 | 7 |
A question about Eemdijk vs Sportlust '46?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eemdijk vs Sportlust '46?
- The Footlab AI model makes Eemdijk the favourite at 41%, against 23% for a draw and 36% for Sportlust '46.
- Where and when is Eemdijk vs Sportlust '46 played?
- Eemdijk vs Sportlust '46 is played on October 23, 2026 at 06:00 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Vinken, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.