Karpaty vs Polessya: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Ukraina, Lviv
The Footlab AI model makes Polessya the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Karpaty. The most likely score is 1-1. If Polessya wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,403 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Karpaty vs Polessya?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Karpaty (1,984) and Polessya (2,055).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Karpaty vs Polessya
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Karpaty
4-1-4-1- 9J. Séry
- 8A. Chachua
- 10Moha
- 31N. Rusyn
- 70Xeber Alkain
- 20M. Sapuga
- 47Jean Pedroso
- 17R. Vantukh
- 4V. Baboglo
- 11D. Miroshnichenko
- 80R. Mysak
Polessya
4-1-4-1- 89M. Gayduchyk
- 8R. Babenko
- 14L. Emërllahu
- 7O. Nazarenko
- 27O. Fedor
- 45M. Bragaru
- 5E. Sarapiy
- 44S. Chobotenko
- 31G. Maisuradze
- 4M. Kravchenko
- 1O. Kudryk
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 04:01 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Karpaty have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; Polessya have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Dynamo Kyiv(away) | 0-1 | Premier League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | KV Mechelen(away) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Veres Rivne(home) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka(away) | 3-2 | Cup |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka(away) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Bukovyna(away) | 2-2 | Premier League |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Kryvbas KR(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Livyi Bereh(home) | 1-0 | Premier League |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Kudrivka(home) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Kudrivka(home) | 5-1 | Premier League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Karpaty wins, 1 draw, 5 Polessya wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | Polessya 3-2 Karpaty | Premier League |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Karpaty 0-2 Polessya | Premier League |
| Apr 7, 2025 | Polessya 1-1 Karpaty | Premier League |
| Feb 12, 2025 | Karpaty 0-3 Polessya | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Karpaty 1-3 Polessya | Premier League |
| Nov 27, 2022 | Karpaty 1-2 Polessya | Persha Liga |
How many goals should we expect?
Karpaty score 2.2 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Polessya score 2.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karpaty | 2.2 | 0.7 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Polessya | 2.0 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Karpaty sit 5th in Premier League (14 points from 8 matches) and Polessya sit 2nd (19 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Polessya | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 7 | 19 |
| 5 | Karpaty | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 6 | 14 |
A question about Karpaty vs Polessya?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Karpaty vs Polessya?
- The Footlab AI model makes Polessya the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Karpaty.
- Where and when is Karpaty vs Polessya played?
- Karpaty vs Polessya is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Ukraina, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.