Obolon'-Brovar vs Zorya Luhansk: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Obolon Arena, Kyiv
The Footlab model makes Zorya Luhansk the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Obolon'-Brovar. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Obolon'-Brovar vs Zorya Luhansk?
Zorya Luhansk starts as the favourite with a 146-point Elo edge (1,841 vs 1,695).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Obolon'-Brovar have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Zorya Luhansk have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Karpaty(away) | 0-2 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kudrivka(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Bukovyna(away) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Epitsentr Dunayivtsi(away) | 0-3 | Premier League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Kudrivka(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Skala 1911 Stryi(away) | 6-0 | Cup |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Polessya(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Kryvbas KR(home) | 1-3 | Premier League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka(home) | 2-0 | Premier League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Göztepe(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Obolon'-Brovar win(s), 4 draw(s), 2 Zorya Luhansk win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2026 | Obolon'-Brovar 3-3 Zorya Luhansk | Premier League |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Zorya Luhansk 1-1 Obolon'-Brovar | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Zorya Luhansk 0-0 Obolon'-Brovar | Premier League |
| Mar 23, 2025 | Obolon'-Brovar 1-2 Zorya Luhansk | Friendlies Clubs |
| Mar 7, 2025 | Zorya Luhansk 2-1 Obolon'-Brovar | Premier League |
| Oct 12, 2024 | Obolon'-Brovar 2-2 Zorya Luhansk | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Obolon'-Brovar vs Zorya Luhansk on Apr 5, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Obolon'-Brovar score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Zorya Luhansk score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Obolon'-Brovar | 1.1 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Zorya Luhansk | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Obolon'-Brovar sit 10th in Premier League (2 points from 3 matches) and Zorya Luhansk sit 3rd (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Zorya Luhansk | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Obolon'-Brovar | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Obolon'-Brovar vs Zorya Luhansk?
- The Footlab model makes Zorya Luhansk the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Obolon'-Brovar.
- Where and when is Obolon'-Brovar vs Zorya Luhansk played?
- Obolon'-Brovar vs Zorya Luhansk is played on November 28, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Obolon Arena, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.