Džiugas Telšiai vs TransINVEST Vilnius: prediction and stats
A LygaRegular Season - 33Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC)Telšių centrinis stadionas, Telšiai
The Footlab model makes TransINVEST Vilnius the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Džiugas Telšiai. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Džiugas Telšiai vs TransINVEST Vilnius?
A very open match: only 43 Elo points separate Džiugas Telšiai (1,646) and TransINVEST Vilnius (1,689).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Džiugas Telšiai have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; TransINVEST Vilnius have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius(away) | 0-2 | A Lyga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Suduva Marijampole(home) | 0-2 | A Lyga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Šiauliai(away) | 4-3 | A Lyga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Panevėžys(away) | 1-1 | A Lyga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | TransINVEST Vilnius(away) | 0-1 | A Lyga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Šiauliai(home) | 3-0 | A Lyga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris(away) | 1-1 | A Lyga |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Panevėžys(home) | 0-2 | A Lyga |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Hegelmann Litauen(away) | 2-1 | A Lyga |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Džiugas Telšiai(home) | 1-0 | A Lyga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Džiugas Telšiai win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 TransINVEST Vilnius win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 26, 2026 | TransINVEST Vilnius 1-0 Džiugas Telšiai | A Lyga |
| May 24, 2026 | Džiugas Telšiai 3-2 TransINVEST Vilnius | A Lyga |
| Mar 22, 2026 | TransINVEST Vilnius 0-0 Džiugas Telšiai | A Lyga |
| Aug 27, 2024 | TransINVEST Vilnius 1-2 Džiugas Telšiai | Cup |
| Aug 23, 2024 | Džiugas Telšiai 0-3 TransINVEST Vilnius | A Lyga |
| Jun 22, 2024 | TransINVEST Vilnius 3-0 Džiugas Telšiai | A Lyga |
Last archived meeting: TransINVEST Vilnius vs Džiugas Telšiai on Jul 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Džiugas Telšiai score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; TransINVEST Vilnius score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Džiugas Telšiai | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| TransINVEST Vilnius | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Džiugas Telšiai sit 6th in A Lyga (37 points from 25 matches) and TransINVEST Vilnius sit 2nd (39 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | TransINVEST Vilnius | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 36 | 32 | 39 |
| 6 | Džiugas Telšiai | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 34 | 31 | 37 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Džiugas Telšiai vs TransINVEST Vilnius?
- The Footlab model makes TransINVEST Vilnius the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Džiugas Telšiai.
- Where and when is Džiugas Telšiai vs TransINVEST Vilnius played?
- Džiugas Telšiai vs TransINVEST Vilnius is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:30 PM (UTC) at Telšių centrinis stadionas, in the A Lyga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.