Panevėžys vs Banga: prediction and stats
A LygaRegular Season - 33Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 11:15 AM (UTC)Žemynos progimnazijos stadionas, Panevėžys
The Footlab AI model makes Panevėžys the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Banga. The most likely score is 1-1. If Panevėžys wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 8, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Panevėžys vs Banga?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Panevėžys (1,702) and Banga (1,700).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Panevėžys vs Banga
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Panevėžys
4-3-3- 28E. Burdzilauskas
- 24N. Petkevičius
- 27Kwadwo Asamoah
- 77P. Bizoza
- 6M. Ramanauskas
- 8S. Kouadio
- 33S. Keita
- 32R. Rasimavičius
- 66D. Balsys
- 15J. Januševskij
- 1V. Černiauskas
Banga
4-3-3- 77I. Venckus
- 9Aaron Appiah
- 30Umaro Candé
- 10Vaidas Magdušauskas
- 99P. Olugbogi
- 45M. Sato
- 6Simão Júnior
- 51Cadu
- 27R. Henning
- 3D. Malžinskas
- 14V. Krynskyi
Computed on October 8, 2026 at 01:11 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Panevėžys have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Banga have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris(home) | 0-1 | A Lyga |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Hegelmann Litauen(away) | 3-1 | A Lyga |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Banga(away) | 3-0 | A Lyga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius(home) | 2-0 | A Lyga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Džiugas Telšiai(home) | 2-0 | A Lyga |
| Sep 14, 2026 | TransINVEST Vilnius(home) | 1-3 | A Lyga |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Panevėžys(home) | 0-3 | A Lyga |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Kauno Žalgiris(home) | 0-0 | A Lyga |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hegelmann Litauen(away) | 1-1 | A Lyga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Panevėžys wins, 2 draws, 0 Banga wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2026 | Banga 0-3 Panevėžys | A Lyga |
| May 24, 2026 | Panevėžys 1-0 Banga | A Lyga |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Banga 0-1 Panevėžys | A Lyga |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Banga 2-2 Panevėžys | A Lyga |
| Aug 20, 2025 | Panevėžys 1-0 Banga | A Lyga |
| May 23, 2025 | Banga 1-1 Panevėžys | A Lyga |
How many goals should we expect?
Panevėžys score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Banga score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panevėžys | 1.2 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Banga | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Panevėžys sit 7th in A Lyga (32 points from 28 matches) and Banga sit 5th (41 points from 28 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Banga | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 32 | 28 | 41 |
| 7 | Panevėžys | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 29 | 43 | 32 |
A question about Panevėžys vs Banga?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Panevėžys vs Banga?
- The Footlab AI model makes Panevėžys the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Banga.
- Where and when is Panevėžys vs Banga played?
- Panevėžys vs Banga is played on October 17, 2026 at 11:15 AM (UTC) at Žemynos progimnazijos stadionas, in the A Lyga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.