Panevėžys vs Banga: prediction and stats
A LygaRegular Season - 33Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 11:15 AM (UTC)Žemynos progimnazijos stadionas, Panevėžys
The Footlab model makes Banga the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Panevėžys. The most likely score is 0-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Panevėžys vs Banga?
A very open match: only 87 Elo points separate Panevėžys (1,630) and Banga (1,718).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Panevėžys have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Banga have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Suduva Marijampole(away) | 0-2 | A Lyga |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Šiauliai(away) | 0-1 | A Lyga |
| Aug 10, 2026 | TransINVEST Vilnius(away) | 2-0 | A Lyga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Džiugas Telšiai(home) | 1-1 | A Lyga |
| Jul 30, 2026 | FK Tobol Kostanay(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Hegelmann Litauen(away) | 1-1 | A Lyga |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FK Zalgiris Vilnius(away) | 3-2 | A Lyga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Suduva Marijampole(home) | 0-3 | A Lyga |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Šiauliai(away) | 3-1 | A Lyga |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Džiugas Telšiai(away) | 0-1 | A Lyga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Panevėžys win(s), 3 draw(s), 0 Banga win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Panevėžys 1-0 Banga | A Lyga |
| Mar 21, 2026 | Banga 0-1 Panevėžys | A Lyga |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Banga 2-2 Panevėžys | A Lyga |
| Aug 20, 2025 | Panevėžys 1-0 Banga | A Lyga |
| May 23, 2025 | Banga 1-1 Panevėžys | A Lyga |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Panevėžys 1-1 Banga | A Lyga |
How many goals should we expect?
Panevėžys score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Banga score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panevėžys | 0.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Banga | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Panevėžys sit 8th in A Lyga (23 points from 24 matches) and Banga sit 4th (37 points from 24 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Banga | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 29 | 22 | 37 |
| 8 | Panevėžys | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 21 | 41 | 23 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Panevėžys vs Banga?
- The Footlab model makes Banga the favourite at 48%, against 29% for a draw and 23% for Panevėžys.
- Where and when is Panevėžys vs Banga played?
- Panevėžys vs Banga is played on October 17, 2026 at 11:15 AM (UTC) at Žemynos progimnazijos stadionas, in the A Lyga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.