East Kilbride vs Cove Rangers: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 23Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)K Park Training Academy, East Kilbride
The Footlab model makes East Kilbride the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Cove Rangers. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win East Kilbride vs Cove Rangers?
East Kilbride starts as the favourite with a 131-point Elo edge (1,715 vs 1,585).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, East Kilbride have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Cove Rangers have 4, 2 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Montrose(away) | 0-3 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cove Rangers(home) | 3-0 | League One |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Kilmarnock II(home) | 5-3 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Airdrie United(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Queen of the South(home) | 5-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Peterhead(home) | 3-0 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | East Kilbride(away) | 0-3 | League One |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Stirling Albion(away) | 2-4 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | East Fife(away) | 0-2 | League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Airdrie United(home) | 0-0 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 East Kilbride win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Cove Rangers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | East Kilbride 3-0 Cove Rangers | League One |
| Jul 14, 2026 | Cove Rangers 3-2 East Kilbride | League Cup |
| Sep 7, 2024 | East Kilbride 3-2 Cove Rangers | Challenge Cup |
Last archived meeting: East Kilbride vs Cove Rangers on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
East Kilbride score 2.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Cove Rangers score 1.2 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Kilbride | 2.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
| Cove Rangers | 1.2 | 2.3 | 3 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
East Kilbride sit 3rd in League One (7 points from 4 matches) and Cove Rangers sit 7th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | East Kilbride | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 7 |
| 7 | Cove Rangers | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for East Kilbride vs Cove Rangers?
- The Footlab model makes East Kilbride the favourite at 53%, against 25% for a draw and 22% for Cove Rangers.
- Where and when is East Kilbride vs Cove Rangers played?
- East Kilbride vs Cove Rangers is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at K Park Training Academy, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.