Ross County vs Queen of the South: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 23Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Global Energy Stadium, Dingwall
The Footlab model makes Ross County the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Queen of the South. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ross County vs Queen of the South?
Ross County starts as the favourite with a 165-point Elo edge (1,798 vs 1,633).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ross County have 12 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeats; Queen of the South have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Airdrie United(away) | 3-1 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dunfermline(away) | 2-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Elgin City(away) | 2-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Montrose(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Peterhead(away) | 1-0 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Alloa Athletic(home) | 0-2 | League One |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Cumbernauld Colts(home) | 4-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Peterhead(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | East Kilbride(away) | 1-5 | League One |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Queen's Park(away) | 1-3 | League Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Ross County win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Queen of the South win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 2025 | Queen of the South 0-1 Ross County | League Cup |
| Apr 26, 2019 | Ross County 4-0 Queen of the South | Championship |
| Jan 12, 2019 | Queen of the South 4-0 Ross County | Championship |
| Dec 8, 2018 | Ross County 1-1 Queen of the South | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2018 | Queen of the South 0-0 Ross County | Championship |
| May 5, 2012 | Queen of the South 3-5 Ross County | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Queen of the South vs Ross County on Jul 19, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Ross County score 2.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Queen of the South score 1.4 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ross County | 2.7 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
| Queen of the South | 1.4 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ross County sit 2nd in League One (9 points from 3 matches) and Queen of the South sit 10th (0 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ross County | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 9 |
| 10 | Queen of the South | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ross County vs Queen of the South?
- The Footlab model makes Ross County the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Queen of the South.
- Where and when is Ross County vs Queen of the South played?
- Ross County vs Queen of the South is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Global Energy Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.