Airdrie United vs Alloa Athletic: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 23Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Albert Bartlett Stadium, Airdrie
The Footlab AI model makes Airdrie United the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Alloa Athletic. The most likely score is 1-1. If Airdrie United wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,443 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Airdrie United vs Alloa Athletic?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Airdrie United (1,658) and Alloa Athletic (1,593).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Airdrie United vs Alloa Athletic
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Airdrie United
4-1-2-1-2- 25J. Gentles
- 9D. Mebude
- 27L. Gibson
- 16C. Smith
- 22C. Burnside
- 6E. Simpson
- 5S. Fisher
- 24R. Tumilty
- 31D. Gallagher
- 2D. MacDonald
- 20C. Melrose
Alloa Athletic
4-3-3- 24O. Foster
- 7K. Glasgow
- 28M. Aitken
- 12S. Scougall
- 6G. Marchant
- 4S. Hetherington
- 2S. Taggart
- 5Joseph McGrath
- 3C. Waters
- 20C. O'Donnell
- 1R. Stewart
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 08:31 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Airdrie United have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Alloa Athletic have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Elgin City(home) | 5-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Cove Rangers(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Ross County(away) | 0-4 | League One |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Hamilton Academical(home) | 1-2 | League One |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Hearts U21(home) | 3-2 | Challenge Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Clydebank(away) | 0-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Peterhead(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Queen of the South(home) | 0-1 | League One |
| Oct 17, 2026 | East Fife(away) | 3-0 | League One |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Annan Athletic(away) | 0-0 | Challenge Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Airdrie United wins, 0 draws, 3 Alloa Athletic wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Airdrie United 1-0 Alloa Athletic | League One |
| May 9, 2026 | Airdrie United 1-2 Alloa Athletic | Championship |
| May 5, 2026 | Alloa Athletic 1-0 Airdrie United | Championship |
| Dec 9, 2025 | Alloa Athletic 2-3 Airdrie United | Challenge Cup |
| Jul 26, 2025 | Airdrie United 2-3 Alloa Athletic | League Cup |
| Apr 1, 2023 | Alloa Athletic 0-1 Airdrie United | League One |
Last archived meeting: Airdrie United vs Alloa Athletic on Sep 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Airdrie United score 2.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Alloa Athletic score 1.2 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Airdrie United | 2.1 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Alloa Athletic | 1.2 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Airdrie United sit 6th in League One (13 points from 13 matches) and Alloa Athletic sit 8th (12 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Airdrie United | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 20 | 13 |
| 8 | Alloa Athletic | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 12 |
A question about Airdrie United vs Alloa Athletic?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Airdrie United vs Alloa Athletic?
- The Footlab AI model makes Airdrie United the favourite at 45%, against 28% for a draw and 27% for Alloa Athletic.
- Where and when is Airdrie United vs Alloa Athletic played?
- Airdrie United vs Alloa Athletic is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Albert Bartlett Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.