Match

Montrose vs Hamilton Academical: prediction and stats

League OneRegular Season - 23Kick-off on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Links Park, Montrose

MontroseHamilton Academical

The Footlab AI model makes Hamilton Academical the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Montrose. The most likely score is 1-1. If Hamilton Academical wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.0% of the 5,337 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Montrose vs Hamilton Academical?

Hamilton Academical starts as the favourite with a 126-point Elo edge (1,736 vs 1,610).

24%26%50%
Montrose winDrawHamilton Academical win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Montrose vs Hamilton Academical

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Montrose

4-4-1-1
  1. 16J. Sutherland
  1. 12K. Freeman
  2. 6S. Byrne
  3. 11B. Lyons
  4. 8J. Barjonas
  5. 22H. Craig
  1. 5S. McGinty
  2. 4A. Quinn
  3. 3F. Duffy
  4. 2R. Williamson
  1. 1C. Gill

Hamilton Academical

4-3-3
  1. 29A. Ryan
  2. 7D. Thomas
  3. 27S. McKinstry
  1. 17S. Bannigan
  2. 6C. Blues
  3. 21G. Crookston
  1. 33S. Hendrie
  2. 2A. Comrie
  3. 3T. Gallacher
  4. 8K. MacDonald
  1. 1D. Lyness

Computed on November 11, 2026 at 08:08 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Montrose have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Hamilton Academical have 11, 3 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Montrose
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026East Fife(home)1-2League One
Nov 3, 2026Inverness CT(away)0-1Challenge Cup
Oct 31, 2026Hamilton Academical(away)1-1League One
Oct 24, 2026Peterhead(home)3-0League One
Oct 17, 2026East Kilbride(away)1-1League One
Hamilton Academical
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 7, 2026Cove Rangers(away)0-4League One
Nov 3, 2026Raith Rovers(home)1-1Challenge Cup
Oct 31, 2026Montrose(home)1-1League One
Oct 27, 2026Ross County(away)1-1League One
Oct 24, 2026East Fife(home)2-1League One

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Montrose wins, 2 draws, 4 Hamilton Academical wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Hamilton Academical 1-1 MontroseLeague One
Aug 1, 2026Montrose 0-5 Hamilton AcademicalLeague One
Apr 18, 2026Montrose 0-2 Hamilton AcademicalLeague One
Feb 28, 2026Hamilton Academical 1-1 MontroseLeague One
Oct 18, 2025Montrose 0-4 Hamilton AcademicalLeague One
Aug 2, 2025Hamilton Academical 2-0 MontroseLeague One

Last archived meeting: Hamilton Academical vs Montrose on Oct 31, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Montrose score 1.5 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Hamilton Academical score 1.9 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Montrose1.51.5210/1511/15
Hamilton Academical1.90.777/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Montrose sit 4th in League One (20 points from 14 matches) and Hamilton Academical sit 2nd (33 points from 14 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Hamilton Academical141031271033
4Montrose14626192320

A question about Montrose vs Hamilton Academical?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Montrose vs Hamilton Academical?
The Footlab AI model makes Hamilton Academical the favourite at 50%, against 26% for a draw and 24% for Montrose.
Where and when is Montrose vs Hamilton Academical played?
Montrose vs Hamilton Academical is played on January 23, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Links Park, in the League One.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.0% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Montrose and Hamilton Academical

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