East Kilbride vs Montrose: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)K Park Training Academy, East Kilbride
The Footlab model makes East Kilbride the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Montrose. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win East Kilbride vs Montrose?
East Kilbride starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,719 vs 1,614).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, East Kilbride have 10 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats; Montrose have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Montrose(away) | 0-3 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cove Rangers(home) | 3-0 | League One |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Kilmarnock II(home) | 5-3 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Airdrie United(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Queen of the South(home) | 5-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | East Kilbride(home) | 3-0 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Alloa Athletic(away) | 0-3 | League One |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Fraserburgh(home) | 2-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ross County(away) | 1-2 | League One |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Hamilton Academical(home) | 0-5 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 East Kilbride win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Montrose win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Montrose 3-0 East Kilbride | League One |
Last archived meeting: Montrose vs East Kilbride on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
East Kilbride score 2.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Montrose score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Kilbride | 2.9 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 12/15 |
| Montrose | 1.5 | 1.4 | 6 | 4/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
East Kilbride sit 3rd in League One (7 points from 4 matches) and Montrose sit 8th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | East Kilbride | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | 7 |
| 8 | Montrose | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for East Kilbride vs Montrose?
- The Footlab model makes East Kilbride the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for Montrose.
- Where and when is East Kilbride vs Montrose played?
- East Kilbride vs Montrose is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at K Park Training Academy, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.