Peterhead vs Cove Rangers: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Balmoor Stadium, Peterhead
The Footlab model makes Peterhead the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Cove Rangers. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Peterhead vs Cove Rangers?
A very open match: only 27 Elo points separate Peterhead (1,614) and Cove Rangers (1,587).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Peterhead have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Cove Rangers have 5, 2 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Dundee II(home) | 2-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cove Rangers(away) | 0-3 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | East Fife(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Banks O' Dee(away) | 5-1 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Queen of the South(away) | 1-0 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Dundee United II(home) | 2-0 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Peterhead(home) | 3-0 | League One |
| Aug 15, 2026 | East Kilbride(away) | 0-3 | League One |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Stirling Albion(away) | 2-4 | Challenge Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | East Fife(away) | 0-2 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Peterhead win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Cove Rangers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Cove Rangers 3-0 Peterhead | League One |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Cove Rangers 2-1 Peterhead | League One |
| Dec 27, 2025 | Peterhead 0-4 Cove Rangers | League One |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Cove Rangers 1-2 Peterhead | League One |
| Aug 23, 2025 | Peterhead 3-1 Cove Rangers | League One |
| Jul 11, 2023 | Cove Rangers 1-1 Peterhead | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Cove Rangers vs Peterhead on Aug 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Peterhead score 1.7 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Cove Rangers score 1.3 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peterhead | 1.7 | 0.9 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Cove Rangers | 1.3 | 2.2 | 4 | 6/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Peterhead sit 5th in League One (6 points from 4 matches) and Cove Rangers sit 7th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Peterhead | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 |
| 7 | Cove Rangers | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Peterhead vs Cove Rangers?
- The Footlab model makes Peterhead the favourite at 40%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Cove Rangers.
- Where and when is Peterhead vs Cove Rangers played?
- Peterhead vs Cove Rangers is played on October 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Balmoor Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.