Tamworth vs Eastleigh: prediction and stats
National LeagueMatchday 18Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)The Lamb Ground, Tamworth, Staffordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Tamworth the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Eastleigh. The most likely score is 1-1. If Tamworth wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 6,247 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Tamworth vs Eastleigh?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Tamworth (1,907) and Eastleigh (1,878).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Tamworth vs Eastleigh
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Tamworth
4-3-3- 10K. Donnelly
- 27R. Carter
- 23J. Hutchinson
- 19T. McGlinchey
- 4T. Kurtaran
- 30M. Roberts
- 3T. Handley
- 12J. Rye
- 29H. Carson
- 5T. Parkes
- 21J. Macaulay
Eastleigh
4-4-2- 11A. Blair
- 12O. Hawkins
- 24J. Cousins
- 7Max Dickov
- 17D. Rankine
- 32J. Williams
- 18T. Dobson-Ventura
- 5I. Bakare
- 2J. Caprice
- 27Reece Johnson
- 1N. Townsend
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 01:41 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Tamworth have 5 wins, 1 draw and 9 defeats; Eastleigh have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | AFC Hornchurch(away) | 1-2 | National League |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Everton U21(home) | 2-3 | National League Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Woking(home) | 0-1 | National League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Scunthorpe(home) | 4-1 | National League |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Carlisle(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | AFC Fylde(home) | 1-2 | National League |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Shrewsbury(home) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Barrow(away) | 1-1 | National League |
| Oct 28, 2026 | Forest Green(away) | 0-2 | National League |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Boston United(home) | 4-2 | National League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Tamworth wins, 1 draw, 1 Eastleigh win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Eastleigh 1-1 Tamworth | National League |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Tamworth 1-0 Eastleigh | National League |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Tamworth 2-0 Eastleigh | National League |
| Sep 7, 2024 | Eastleigh 1-0 Tamworth | National League |
Last archived meeting: Eastleigh vs Tamworth on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Tamworth score 1.4 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Eastleigh score 1.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamworth | 1.4 | 1.9 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Eastleigh | 1.2 | 1.8 | 1 | 12/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Tamworth sit 20th in National League (17 points from 16 matches) and Eastleigh sit 18th (19 points from 17 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Eastleigh | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | 19 |
| 20 | Tamworth | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 26 | 34 | 17 |
A question about Tamworth vs Eastleigh?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Tamworth vs Eastleigh?
- The Footlab AI model makes Tamworth the favourite at 49%, against 25% for a draw and 26% for Eastleigh.
- Where and when is Tamworth vs Eastleigh played?
- Tamworth vs Eastleigh is played on November 21, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at The Lamb Ground, in the National League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.