Maidenhead vs Braintree: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 20Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)York Road Stadium, Maidenhead, Berkshire
The Footlab model makes Maidenhead the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Braintree. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Maidenhead vs Braintree?
Maidenhead starts as the favourite with a 175-point Elo edge (1,811 vs 1,636).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maidenhead have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Braintree have 2, 3 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Farnborough(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hemel Hempstead Town(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dorking Wanderers(home) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Truro City(away) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Brackley Town(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Horsham(home) | 1-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Ipswich Town U21(home) | 1-1 | National League Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chesham United(home) | 3-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tonbridge Angels(home) | 0-4 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Aldershot Town(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Maidenhead win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Braintree win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2025 | Maidenhead 3-3 Braintree | National League |
| Nov 26, 2024 | Braintree 1-3 Maidenhead | National League |
| Dec 29, 2018 | Maidenhead 0-1 Braintree | National League |
| Aug 27, 2018 | Braintree 0-2 Maidenhead | National League |
Last archived meeting: Maidenhead vs Braintree on Mar 4, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Maidenhead score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Braintree score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maidenhead | 0.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 4/15 |
| Braintree | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Maidenhead sit 14th in National League - South (5 points from 4 matches) and Braintree sit 20th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Maidenhead | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| 20 | Braintree | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Maidenhead vs Braintree?
- The Footlab model makes Maidenhead the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Braintree.
- Where and when is Maidenhead vs Braintree played?
- Maidenhead vs Braintree is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at York Road Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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