Match

Maidenhead vs Braintree: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 20Kick-off on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)York Road Stadium, Maidenhead, Berkshire

MaidenheadBraintree

The Footlab model makes Maidenhead the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Braintree. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Maidenhead vs Braintree?

Maidenhead starts as the favourite with a 175-point Elo edge (1,811 vs 1,636).

Maidenhead win62 %
Draw21 %
Braintree win16 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Maidenhead have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Braintree have 2, 3 and 10.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Maidenhead
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Farnborough(home)1-1National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Hemel Hempstead Town(away)1-0National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Dorking Wanderers(home)0-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Truro City(away)0-2National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Brackley Town(away)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Braintree
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Horsham(home)1-2National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Ipswich Town U21(home)1-1National League Cup
Aug 15, 2026Chesham United(home)3-2National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Tonbridge Angels(home)0-4National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Aldershot Town(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Maidenhead win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Braintree win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 4, 2025Maidenhead 3-3 BraintreeNational League
Nov 26, 2024Braintree 1-3 MaidenheadNational League
Dec 29, 2018Maidenhead 0-1 BraintreeNational League
Aug 27, 2018Braintree 0-2 MaidenheadNational League

Last archived meeting: Maidenhead vs Braintree on Mar 4, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Maidenhead score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Braintree score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Maidenhead0.91.247/154/15
Braintree1.52.3212/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Maidenhead sit 14th in National League - South (5 points from 4 matches) and Braintree sit 20th (3 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Maidenhead4121235
20Braintree3102483

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Maidenhead vs Braintree?
The Footlab model makes Maidenhead the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 16% for Braintree.
Where and when is Maidenhead vs Braintree played?
Maidenhead vs Braintree is played on December 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at York Road Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Maidenhead and Braintree

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