Match

Ebbsfleet United vs Salisbury: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 9Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Kuflink Stadium, Northfleet, Kent

Ebbsfleet UnitedSalisbury

The Footlab model makes Ebbsfleet United the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Salisbury. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ebbsfleet United vs Salisbury?

A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Ebbsfleet United (1,812) and Salisbury (1,756).

Ebbsfleet United win55 %
Draw23 %
Salisbury win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ebbsfleet United have 8 wins, 0 draws and 7 defeats; Salisbury have 7, 2 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ebbsfleet United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 31, 2026Gillingham(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 28, 2026Cray Valley PM(away)3-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 21, 2026West Ham United U21(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 7, 2026Dartford(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026Worthing(away)0-2National League - South
Salisbury
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Hemel Hempstead Town(home)1-2National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Horsham(away)0-0National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Hampton & Richmond(home)5-0National League - South
Jul 31, 2026Havant & Wville(home)5-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 25, 2026Frome Town(away)0-3Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Ebbsfleet United win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Salisbury win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 7, 2026Salisbury 1-1 Ebbsfleet UnitedNational League - South
Oct 25, 2025Ebbsfleet United 2-0 SalisburyNational League - South

Last archived meeting: Salisbury vs Ebbsfleet United on Feb 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Ebbsfleet United score 1.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Salisbury score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ebbsfleet United1.91.5310/1513/15
Salisbury2.31.359/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
15Salisbury3111624

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ebbsfleet United vs Salisbury?
The Footlab model makes Ebbsfleet United the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 22% for Salisbury.
Where and when is Ebbsfleet United vs Salisbury played?
Ebbsfleet United vs Salisbury is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Kuflink Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Ebbsfleet United and Salisbury

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