Match

Farnborough vs Dover: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 9Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Saunders Transport Community Stadium, Farnborough, Hampshire

FarnboroughDover

The Footlab model makes Farnborough the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Dover. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Farnborough vs Dover?

A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Farnborough (1,772) and Dover (1,722).

Farnborough win49 %
Draw23 %
Dover win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Farnborough have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Dover have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Farnborough
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Maidenhead(away)1-1National League - South
Aug 19, 2026Chesham United(home)1-0National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Hemel Hempstead Town(home)0-2National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Maidstone Utd(away)2-1National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Bath City(home)3-0Friendlies Clubs
Dover
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Weston-super-Mare(away)3-2National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Tonbridge Angels(home)0-1National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Slough Town(home)5-3National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Billericay Town(away)0-2National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Carshalton Athletic(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Farnborough win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Dover win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 11, 2026Dover 1-3 FarnboroughNational League - South
Sep 13, 2025Farnborough 4-1 DoverFA Cup
Sep 6, 2025Farnborough 1-2 DoverNational League - South
Mar 23, 2024Dover 1-3 FarnboroughNational League - South
Oct 28, 2023Farnborough 4-0 DoverNational League - South
Apr 22, 2023Farnborough 3-0 DoverNational League - South

Last archived meeting: Dover vs Farnborough on Apr 11, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Farnborough score 1.8 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Dover score 1.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Farnborough1.81.4410/159/15
Dover1.21.827/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Farnborough sit 7th in National League - South (7 points from 4 matches) and Dover sit 10th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Farnborough4211447
10Dover4202886

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Farnborough vs Dover?
The Footlab model makes Farnborough the favourite at 49%, against 23% for a draw and 28% for Dover.
Where and when is Farnborough vs Dover played?
Farnborough vs Dover is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Saunders Transport Community Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Farnborough and Dover

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