Where and when is Torquay vs Dorking Wanderers played?

Torquay vs Dorking Wanderers is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Plainmoor Ground, in the National League - South.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Torquay vs Dorking Wanderers: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 9Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Plainmoor Ground, Torquay, Devon

Torquay

Dorking Wanderers

The Footlab model makes Torquay the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Dorking Wanderers. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Torquay vs Dorking Wanderers?

A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Torquay (1,872) and Dorking Wanderers (1,843).

Torquay win51 %

Draw23 %

Dorking Wanderers win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Torquay have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Dorking Wanderers have 3, 3 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Torquay
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Dagenham & Redbridge(away)	0-2	National League - South
Aug 18, 2026	Weston-super-Mare(home)	0-0	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Tonbridge Angels(away)	2-1	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Horsham(home)	1-1	National League - South
Jul 31, 2026	Exeter City(home)	2-1	Friendlies Clubs

Dorking Wanderers
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Maidstone Utd(home)	2-3	National League - South
Aug 18, 2026	AFC Totton(away)	3-0	National League - South
Aug 15, 2026	Maidenhead(away)	0-0	National League - South
Aug 8, 2026	Dagenham & Redbridge(home)	0-1	National League - South
Jul 28, 2026	Dulwich Hamlet(away)	0-1	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Torquay win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Dorking Wanderers win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 2, 2026	Torquay 4-2 Dorking Wanderers	National League - South
Mar 24, 2026	Torquay 2-2 Dorking Wanderers	National League - South
Oct 25, 2025	Dorking Wanderers 3-1 Torquay	National League - South
Mar 15, 2025	Dorking Wanderers 0-1 Torquay	National League - South
Aug 24, 2024	Torquay 1-0 Dorking Wanderers	National League - South
Feb 21, 2023	Dorking Wanderers 3-2 Torquay	National League

Last archived meeting: Torquay vs Dorking Wanderers on May 2, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Torquay score 2.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Dorking Wanderers score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Torquay	2.2	1.1	3	10/15	11/15
Dorking Wanderers	1.1	1.7	3	8/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Torquay sit 13th in National League - South (5 points from 4 matches) and Dorking Wanderers sit 16th (4 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
13	Torquay	4	1	2	1	3	4	5
16	Dorking Wanderers	4	1	1	2	5	4	4

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Torquay vs Dorking Wanderers?: The Footlab model makes Torquay the favourite at 51%, against 23% for a draw and 26% for Dorking Wanderers.
Where and when is Torquay vs Dorking Wanderers played?: Torquay vs Dorking Wanderers is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Plainmoor Ground, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.