Ebolitana vs Melfi: result 1-0 and analysis
Serie D - Girone HGroup H - 5Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)
Full time
What was the result of Ebolitana vs Melfi?
Ebolitana won 1-0 on September 27, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 54′682259Ebolitana
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Ebolitana win at 43%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 1-0.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 4 matches in all competitions, Ebolitana have 1 win, 1 draw and 2 defeats; Melfi have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Manfredonia(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Bisceglie(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Nardò(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Nocerina(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Francavilla(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Nardò(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Virtus Francavilla(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Real Normanna(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| May 7, 2017 | Matera(home) | 0-3 | Serie C - Girone A |
How many goals should we expect?
Ebolitana score 1.0 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 4; Melfi score 0.9 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ebolitana | 1.0 | 1.8 | 0 | 3/4 | 3/4 |
| Melfi | 0.9 | 1.0 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 4 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ebolitana sit 11th in Serie D - Girone H (8 points from 7 matches) and Melfi sit 18th (4 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Ebolitana | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 8 |
| 18 | Melfi | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 4 |
A question about Ebolitana vs Melfi?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy