Real Normanna vs Gravina: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone HGroup H - 5Kick-off on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Augusto Bisceglia, Aversa
The Footlab model makes Gravina the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Real Normanna. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Real Normanna vs Gravina?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Real Normanna (1,697) and Gravina (1,762).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Real Normanna have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Gravina have 10, 3 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Gravina(away) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Città di Fasano(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Afragolese(away) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Martina Franca(away) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Paganese(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Real Normanna(home) | 3-2 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Afragolese(away) | 6-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Paganese(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Ferrandina(away) | 5-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
| Apr 2, 2026 | Martina Franca(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone H |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Real Normanna win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Gravina win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 3, 2026 | Gravina 3-2 Real Normanna | Serie D - Girone H |
| Dec 21, 2025 | Real Normanna 3-2 Gravina | Serie D - Girone H |
Last archived meeting: Gravina vs Real Normanna on May 3, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Real Normanna score 1.0 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Gravina score 1.9 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Normanna | 1.0 | 0.8 | 7 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Gravina | 1.9 | 0.8 | 8 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Real Normanna sit 10th in Serie D - Girone H (43 points from 34 matches) and Gravina sit 6th (55 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Gravina | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 50 | 40 | 55 |
| 10 | Real Normanna | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 27 | 26 | 43 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Real Normanna vs Gravina?
- The Footlab model makes Gravina the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Real Normanna.
- Where and when is Real Normanna vs Gravina played?
- Real Normanna vs Gravina is played on September 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Augusto Bisceglia, in the Serie D - Girone H.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.