Eckernförder SV vs TSB Flensburg: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Schleswig-HolsteinSchleswig-Holstein - 23Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadtwerke Arena, Eckernförde
The Footlab model makes TSB Flensburg the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 33% for Eckernförder SV. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eckernförder SV vs TSB Flensburg?
TSB Flensburg starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (1,750 vs 1,629).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eckernförder SV have 2 wins, 0 draws and 13 defeats; TSB Flensburg have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kaltenkirchen(home) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Holstein Kiel II(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Nordmark Satrup(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lübeck II(home) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| May 17, 2025 | Union Neumünster(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | SV Eichede(away) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Kilia Kiel(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Union Neumünster(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Rotenhof(home) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Oldenburger SV(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Eckernförder SV win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 TSB Flensburg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | TSB Flensburg 5-4 Eckernförder SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Eckernförder SV 2-0 TSB Flensburg | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| May 12, 2024 | Eckernförder SV 2-1 TSB Flensburg | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Jul 29, 2023 | TSB Flensburg 2-0 Eckernförder SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Apr 22, 2023 | TSB Flensburg 3-2 Eckernförder SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Oct 2, 2022 | Eckernförder SV 1-2 TSB Flensburg | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
Last archived meeting: TSB Flensburg vs Eckernförder SV on Apr 5, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Eckernförder SV score 1.3 and concede 3.0 goals per match over their last 15; TSB Flensburg score 1.6 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 74% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eckernförder SV | 1.3 | 3.0 | 0 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| TSB Flensburg | 1.6 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eckernförder SV sit 14th in Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein (3 points from 5 matches) and TSB Flensburg sit 4th (10 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | TSB Flensburg | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 5 | 10 |
| 14 | Eckernförder SV | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eckernförder SV vs TSB Flensburg?
- The Footlab model makes TSB Flensburg the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 33% for Eckernförder SV.
- Where and when is Eckernförder SV vs TSB Flensburg played?
- Eckernförder SV vs TSB Flensburg is played on March 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadtwerke Arena, in the Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 74% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.