Heider SV vs Union Neumünster: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Schleswig-HolsteinSchleswig-Holstein - 23Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion an der Meldorfer Straße, Heide
The Footlab model makes Union Neumünster the favourite at 40%, against 21% for a draw and 38% for Heider SV. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Heider SV vs Union Neumünster?
A very open match: only 37 Elo points separate Heider SV (1,784) and Union Neumünster (1,821).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Heider SV have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Union Neumünster have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hohenwestedt(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 16, 2026 | VfR Neumünster(away) | 1-6 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kaltenkirchen(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Holstein Kiel II(away) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | VfB Lübeck(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Oldenburger SV(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rotenhof(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 7, 2026 | TSB Flensburg(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Hohenwestedt(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Jul 31, 2026 | VfR Neumünster(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Heider SV win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Union Neumünster win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Heider SV 4-1 Union Neumünster | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Union Neumünster 0-1 Heider SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Heider SV 1-1 Union Neumünster | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Union Neumünster 1-3 Heider SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Union Neumünster 3-2 Heider SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Sep 15, 2023 | Heider SV 2-4 Union Neumünster | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
Last archived meeting: Heider SV vs Union Neumünster on Apr 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Heider SV score 1.5 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Union Neumünster score 2.3 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 79% probability of over 2.5 goals and 77% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heider SV | 1.5 | 2.5 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Union Neumünster | 2.3 | 2.2 | 1 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Heider SV sit 13th in Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein (4 points from 5 matches) and Union Neumünster sit 8th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Union Neumünster | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
| 13 | Heider SV | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Heider SV vs Union Neumünster?
- The Footlab model makes Union Neumünster the favourite at 40%, against 21% for a draw and 38% for Heider SV.
- Where and when is Heider SV vs Union Neumünster played?
- Heider SV vs Union Neumünster is played on March 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion an der Meldorfer Straße, in the Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 79% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.