Nordmark Satrup vs VfR Neumünster: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Schleswig-HolsteinSchleswig-Holstein - 23Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC)A-Platz Satrup, Mittelangeln
The Footlab model makes VfR Neumünster the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Nordmark Satrup. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nordmark Satrup vs VfR Neumünster?
A very open match: only 97 Elo points separate Nordmark Satrup (1,757) and VfR Neumünster (1,854).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nordmark Satrup have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; VfR Neumünster have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Oldenburger SV(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lübeck II(away) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Eckernförder SV(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Phönix L. II(away) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| May 16, 2026 | VfR Neumünster(home) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Phönix L. II(away) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Heider SV(home) | 6-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SV Eichede(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Kilia Kiel(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Union Neumünster(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Nordmark Satrup win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 VfR Neumünster win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Nordmark Satrup 2-1 VfR Neumünster | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Nov 2, 2025 | VfR Neumünster 3-1 Nordmark Satrup | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Nordmark Satrup 3-0 VfR Neumünster | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2024 | VfR Neumünster 3-3 Nordmark Satrup | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Nordmark Satrup 0-2 VfR Neumünster | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Sep 17, 2023 | VfR Neumünster 3-5 Nordmark Satrup | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
Last archived meeting: Nordmark Satrup vs VfR Neumünster on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nordmark Satrup score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; VfR Neumünster score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nordmark Satrup | 1.7 | 1.9 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
| VfR Neumünster | 2.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nordmark Satrup sit 6th in Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein (9 points from 5 matches) and VfR Neumünster sit 1st (13 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfR Neumünster | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 5 | 13 |
| 6 | Nordmark Satrup | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nordmark Satrup vs VfR Neumünster?
- The Footlab model makes VfR Neumünster the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Nordmark Satrup.
- Where and when is Nordmark Satrup vs VfR Neumünster played?
- Nordmark Satrup vs VfR Neumünster is played on March 20, 2027 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at A-Platz Satrup, in the Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.