Eemdijk vs Excelsior '31: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Vinken, Bunschoten
The Footlab model makes Eemdijk the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 33% for Excelsior '31. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eemdijk vs Excelsior '31?
A very open match: only 3 Elo points separate Eemdijk (1,754) and Excelsior '31 (1,750).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eemdijk have 8 wins, 1 draws and 6 defeats; Excelsior '31 have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | ADO '20(home) | 4-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Excelsior '31(away) | 0-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Berkum(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Dovo(home) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | GVVV Veenendaal(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Staphorst(away) | 4-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Eemdijk(home) | 4-0 | Derde Divisie |
| May 23, 2026 | URK(away) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
| May 16, 2026 | Staphorst(home) | 3-1 | Derde Divisie |
| May 9, 2026 | TEC(away) | 1-1 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Eemdijk win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Excelsior '31 win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Excelsior '31 4-0 Eemdijk | Derde Divisie |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Eemdijk 2-2 Excelsior '31 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Eemdijk 2-1 Excelsior '31 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Excelsior '31 0-3 Eemdijk | Derde Divisie |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Eemdijk 4-0 Excelsior '31 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Excelsior '31 2-0 Eemdijk | Derde Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Excelsior '31 vs Eemdijk on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Eemdijk score 1.9 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Excelsior '31 score 1.8 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eemdijk | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
| Excelsior '31 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eemdijk sit 9th in Derde Divisie (3 points from 2 matches) and Excelsior '31 sit 1st (6 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Excelsior '31 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 |
| 9 | Eemdijk | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eemdijk vs Excelsior '31?
- The Footlab model makes Eemdijk the favourite at 45%, against 22% for a draw and 33% for Excelsior '31.
- Where and when is Eemdijk vs Excelsior '31 played?
- Eemdijk vs Excelsior '31 is played on January 9, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Vinken, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.