Eemdijk vs Excelsior '31: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark De Vinken, Bunschoten
The Footlab AI model makes Excelsior '31 the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Eemdijk. The most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Eemdijk vs Excelsior '31?
On Elo ratings, Eemdijk has 1,701 points and Excelsior '31 1,782.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Eemdijk vs Excelsior '31
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Eemdijk
4-3-3- 10A. Selimi
- 9N. Kroonenberg
- 7J. van Dalen
- 26T. Hilhorst
- 17J. van den Dikkenberg
- 8J. van Groen
- 3Jasper Beekhuis
- 2Z. Beukers
- 5F. van Belzen
- 4L. Ruizendaal
- 31W. Beukers
Excelsior '31
Not enough data to predict the Excelsior '31 lineup.
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 08:30 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Eemdijk have 5 wins, 1 draw and 9 defeats; Excelsior '31 have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | DVS 33 Ermelo(away) | 2-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | TEC(away) | 2-7 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Roosendaal(home) | 2-1 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sparta Nijkerk(home) | 0-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | ACV(away) | 1-5 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | ADO '20(away) | 1-3 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Sportlust '46(away) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Dovo(home) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | AFC '34(home) | 4-3 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Hoogeveen(away) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Eemdijk wins, 1 draw, 2 Excelsior '31 wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Excelsior '31 4-0 Eemdijk | Derde Divisie |
| Feb 21, 2026 | Eemdijk 2-2 Excelsior '31 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 23, 2025 | Eemdijk 2-1 Excelsior '31 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Excelsior '31 0-3 Eemdijk | Derde Divisie |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Eemdijk 4-0 Excelsior '31 | Derde Divisie |
| Aug 31, 2024 | Excelsior '31 2-0 Eemdijk | Derde Divisie |
Last archived meeting: Excelsior '31 vs Eemdijk on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Eemdijk score 1.6 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Excelsior '31 score 2.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eemdijk | 1.6 | 2.7 | 1 | 12/15 | 15/15 |
| Excelsior '31 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Eemdijk sit 16th in Derde Divisie (4 points from 8 matches) and Excelsior '31 sit 5th (19 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Excelsior '31 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 9 | 19 |
| 16 | Eemdijk | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 28 | 4 |
A question about Eemdijk vs Excelsior '31?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Eemdijk vs Excelsior '31?
- The Footlab AI model makes Excelsior '31 the favourite at 51%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Eemdijk.
- Where and when is Eemdijk vs Excelsior '31 played?
- Eemdijk vs Excelsior '31 is played on January 9, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark De Vinken, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.