Excelsior Maassluis vs UDI '19: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 18Kick-off on January 9, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Dijkpolder, Maassluis
The Footlab AI model makes Excelsior Maassluis the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for UDI '19. The most likely score is 1-1. If Excelsior Maassluis wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,849 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Excelsior Maassluis vs UDI '19?
Excelsior Maassluis starts as the favourite with a 181-point Elo edge (1,869 vs 1,688).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Excelsior Maassluis vs UDI '19
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Excelsior Maassluis
4-3-3- 27D. Plank
- 17D. Slagveer
- 9B. Wennekers
- 30Y. Hamd
- 8J. Udenhout
- 21N. Nagtegaal
- 24D. Lopes Varela
- 12B. Riley
- 4D. Heuvelman
- 29S. Smits
- 16K. El Fakiri
UDI '19
4-3-3- 11J. van de Haterd
- 9L. van Zundert
- 16Zoran Hurkmans
- 14S. Öztoprak
- 5V. Vermeer
- 17S. Curvers
- 3J. van Ginkel
- 4J. Engelen
- 6S. van den Broek
- 23J. Bongers
- 31T. Odunze
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 10:09 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Excelsior Maassluis have 10 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats; UDI '19 have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Zwaluwen(away) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 10, 2026 | TOGB(home) | 3-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Vvsb(away) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Blauw Geel(home) | 1-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Sportlust '46(away) | 2-0 | KNVB Beker |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | UNA(away) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Dongen(home) | 4-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Oct 4, 2026 | GOES(away) | 4-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Rijnvogels(home) | 0-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Sparta Nijkerk(away) | 1-3 | KNVB Beker |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Excelsior Maassluis wins, 1 draw, 0 UDI '19 wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | UDI '19 1-1 Excelsior Maassluis | Derde Divisie |
Last archived meeting: UDI '19 vs Excelsior Maassluis on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Excelsior Maassluis score 2.0 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; UDI '19 score 2.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 65% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Excelsior Maassluis | 2.0 | 0.8 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| UDI '19 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Excelsior Maassluis sit 3rd in Derde Divisie (23 points from 10 matches) and UDI '19 sit 5th (20 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Excelsior Maassluis | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 7 | 23 |
| 5 | UDI '19 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 20 |
A question about Excelsior Maassluis vs UDI '19?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Excelsior Maassluis vs UDI '19?
- The Footlab AI model makes Excelsior Maassluis the favourite at 55%, against 22% for a draw and 23% for UDI '19.
- Where and when is Excelsior Maassluis vs UDI '19 played?
- Excelsior Maassluis vs UDI '19 is played on January 9, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Dijkpolder, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.