Noordwijk vs GOES: prediction and stats
Derde DivisieRegular Season - 11Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC)Sportpark Duinwetering, Noordwijk
The Footlab AI model makes Noordwijk the favourite at 78%, against 14% for a draw and 8% for GOES. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Noordwijk vs GOES?
Noordwijk starts as the favourite with a 196-point Elo edge (1,835 vs 1,638).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Noordwijk vs GOES
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Noordwijk
4-3-3- 31E. Wendt
- 11V. Tjin-Asjoe
- 18R. Marbus
- 3D. Reinders
- 8B. Franken
- 19D. Bakker
- 37K. Groot
- 20Neto
- 5J. Strooker
- 22T. Zethof
- 44J. Roggeveen
GOES
4-3-3- 22Sjoerd Verhulst
- 11R. Traas
- HH. van Hecke
- 10Tim de Winter
- 8Steven Smulder
- 12J. Noah
- 4R. James
- 20Renzo Roemeratoe
- 2D. van Dijk
- 2J. Klap
- 23T. Huberts
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:43 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Noordwijk have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; GOES have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | EVV(away) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Zwaluwen(home) | 1-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Frisia(home) | 1-0 | KNVB Beker |
| Sep 19, 2026 | TOGB(away) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Vvsb(home) | 2-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 2026 | UDI '19(home) | 0-4 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Poortugaal(away) | 3-0 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 20, 2026 | UNA(home) | 2-1 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Dongen(away) | 3-2 | Derde Divisie |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Blauw Geel(away) | 2-2 | Derde Divisie |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Noordwijk win, 1 draw, 1 GOES win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 2026 | GOES 0-1 Noordwijk | KNVB Beker |
| Feb 28, 2026 | GOES 3-1 Noordwijk | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Noordwijk 2-2 GOES | Derde Divisie - Sunday |
How many goals should we expect?
Noordwijk score 1.9 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; GOES score 1.8 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 72% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noordwijk | 1.9 | 0.7 | 9 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| GOES | 1.8 | 2.1 | 2 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Noordwijk sit 2nd in Derde Divisie (19 points from 8 matches) and GOES sit 6th (14 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Noordwijk | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
| 6 | GOES | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 17 | 14 |
A question about Noordwijk vs GOES?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Noordwijk vs GOES?
- The Footlab AI model makes Noordwijk the favourite at 78%, against 14% for a draw and 8% for GOES.
- Where and when is Noordwijk vs GOES played?
- Noordwijk vs GOES is played on October 24, 2026 at 12:30 PM (UTC) at Sportpark Duinwetering, in the Derde Divisie.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 72% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.