Egabrense vs Ceuta II: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 10Group 10 - 19Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Egabrense the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Ceuta II. The most likely score is 1-1. If Egabrense wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,606 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Egabrense vs Ceuta II?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Egabrense (1,749) and Ceuta II (1,760).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Egabrense vs Ceuta II
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Egabrense
Not enough data to predict the Egabrense lineup.
Ceuta II
Not enough data to predict the Ceuta II lineup.
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 04:27 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 6 matches in all competitions, Egabrense have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Ceuta II have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Betis C(away) | 2-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Bollullos(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Sevilla III(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Portuense(home) | 1-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Ceuta II(away) | 3-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Pozoblanco(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Conil(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dos Hermanas(away) | 0-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Tomares(home) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Chiclana(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Egabrense win, 0 draws, 0 Ceuta II wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Ceuta II 1-3 Egabrense | Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 |
Last archived meeting: Ceuta II vs Egabrense on Sep 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Egabrense score 2.0 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 6; Ceuta II score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Egabrense | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1 | 5/6 | 5/6 |
| Ceuta II | 1.3 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 6 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Egabrense sit 7th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 (8 points from 6 matches) and Ceuta II sit 11th (8 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Egabrense | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 11 | 8 |
| 11 | Ceuta II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 8 |
A question about Egabrense vs Ceuta II?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Egabrense vs Ceuta II?
- The Footlab AI model makes Egabrense the favourite at 47%, against 25% for a draw and 28% for Ceuta II.
- Where and when is Egabrense vs Ceuta II played?
- Egabrense vs Ceuta II is played on January 10, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 10.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.