Egersund vs Kongsvinger: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 22Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Egersund Idrettsparken, Egersund
The Footlab model makes Kongsvinger the favourite at 49%, against 21% for a draw and 29% for Egersund. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Egersund vs Kongsvinger?
Kongsvinger starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,960 vs 1,855).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Egersund have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Kongsvinger have 10, 2 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Våg(away) | 5-2 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Stabaek(home) | 0-4 | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Stromsgodset(away) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Sandnes ULF(home) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Asane(away) | 3-3 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Skreia(away) | 14-2 | NM Cupen |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Haugesund(home) | 3-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Asane(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Strommen(home) | 1-3 | 1. Division |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Sandnes ULF(away) | 6-1 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Egersund win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Kongsvinger win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | Kongsvinger 2-1 Egersund | 1. Division |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Kongsvinger 2-1 Egersund | 1. Division |
| Jun 21, 2025 | Egersund 2-2 Kongsvinger | 1. Division |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Kongsvinger 2-0 Egersund | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 23, 2024 | Egersund 1-2 Kongsvinger | 1. Division |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Egersund 0-1 Kongsvinger | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: Kongsvinger vs Egersund on May 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Egersund score 1.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Kongsvinger score 3.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 75% probability of over 2.5 goals and 73% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Egersund | 1.9 | 2.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
| Kongsvinger | 3.5 | 1.7 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Egersund sit 8th in 1. Division (26 points from 18 matches) and Kongsvinger sit 2nd (39 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kongsvinger | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 48 | 28 | 39 |
| 2 | Kongsvinger | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 12 | 26 |
| 8 | Egersund | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 31 | 32 | 26 |
| 11 | Egersund | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Egersund vs Kongsvinger?
- The Footlab model makes Kongsvinger the favourite at 49%, against 21% for a draw and 29% for Egersund.
- Where and when is Egersund vs Kongsvinger played?
- Egersund vs Kongsvinger is played on September 13, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Egersund Idrettsparken, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 75% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.